HomeMy WebLinkAboutCSD-11-133 - Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring ReptStaff Re apt
KITCHEI~'ER Communr'ty SeruicPS Department www.kitchenertu
REPORT TO: Planning and Strategic Initiatives Committee
DATE OF MEETING: October 17, 2011
SUBMITTED BY: Alain Pinard, Director of Planning
PREPARED BY: Alexandra Pires, Planning Technician (519 741-3400 ext.
3177)
WARD(S) INVOLVED: All wards
DATE OF REPORT: October 12, 2011
REPORT NO.: CSD-11-133
SUBJECT: KITCHENER GROWTH MANAGEMENT STRATEGY -
2011 ANNUAL MONITORING REPORT
RECOMMENDATION:
A. That Report CSD-11-133, Kitchener Growth Management Strategy - 2011 Annual
Monitoring Report be received for information; and
B. That Report CSD-11-133 be submitted to the Regional Municipality of Waterloo in fulfilment
of Clause 22.1 of the Administrative Agreement between the City of Kitchener and the
Regional Municipality of Waterloo regarding delegated authority.
BACKGROUND:
In 2009, Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS). The KGMS
introduces an ongoing growth management program to manage growth-related change in an
effective and co-ordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of KGMS Goal 6 is to
prepare an Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report to track the supply of development
opportunities and the achievement of intensification and density targets. The first Monitoring
Report was prepared in 2010. This year's Annual Monitoring Report coincides with the biannual
Kitchener Growth Management Plan.
REPORT:
Growth management is a community priority. In response to numerous directions, including
Compass Kitchener and the "Who-are-you-Kitchener" surveys, Council approved the Kitchener
Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) in support of the City's Strategic Plan. Kitchener is
expected to accommodate a relatively significant amount of residential and employment growth
over the next twenty years. We are also mandated by the Province to achieve certain numerical
targets and other planning objectives.
The KGMS provides along-term framework for planning where and how future residential and
employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener. To ensure that growth contributes
positively to our quality of life, the KGMS provides a framework for co-ordination of the provision
of infrastructure and services with new development. The goals and actions support the
Province's Growth Plan and the Regional Growth Management Strategy. The KGMS introduced
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KITCHEI~T~,R Communr'ty Seruices Depar~menf www.kitchenertu
an ongoing growth management program that includes preparing an Annual Growth
Management Monitoring Report.
The attached report monitors growth within the built-up (intensification areas) and designated
Greenfield area of the City of Kitchener over the past year (from June 2010 to June 2011), and
provides a summary of observations and changes that may have occurred during this time
period compared to past information. The report also provides an analysis of how this
information relates to the Province's Places to Grow initiatives and the Region's Growth
Management Strategy.
Highlights:
The number of residents and jobs per hectare (RJs/ha) in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown)
is increasing since last year's estimate of 151 RJs/ha to approximately 160 RJs/ha now. This is
an excellent step towards achieving the provincially-mandated target of 200 RJs/ha by 2031.
Another significant achievement is that the amount of residential development occurring in the
Built-up Area ("intensification") is 56%. This now brings the 5 year average to 41% which is very
close to the target that may be established for urban municipalities within this region. The City
and other partners have undertaken significant efforts over the past decade to support
intensification and this is now contributing to positive results.
FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS:
No new or additional capital budget requests are requested.
COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT:
The 2011 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report will be a public document and will be posted on the
City's website. Some of the information was presented to the September meeting of the
Waterloo Region Homebuilders Liaison Committee.
CONCLUSION:
The information outlined in the attached report implements one of the action items of Goal 6 of
the KGMS, which is to establish an ongoing growth management program by preparing an
annual monitoring report to be received for information by Kitchener City Council.
REVIEWED BY:
Brandon Sloan, Manager, Long Range and Policy Planning
ACKNOWLEDGED BY: Jeff Willmer, Deputy CAO
Community Services Department
Attachment:
2011 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report
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1.0 Executive Summary
Growth management is a community priority. In response to numerous directions,
including Compass Kitchener and the "Who-are-you-Kitchener" surveys, Kitchener City
Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) in support of the
City's Strategic Plan. Kitchener is expected to accommodate a relatively significant
amount of residential and employment growth over the next twenty years. We are also
mandated by the Province to achieve certain numerical targets and other planning
objectives.
Although other municipalities have established growth management programs, Kitchener
is on the leading edge with respect to the ability to track and monitor specific growth data
in a dynamic manner. As part of Kitchener's ongoing growth management program the
intent is to continually refine the data, improve the dynamic capabilities and provide
information to help support numerous corporate studies and infrastructure projects. A
`snapshot' of the data is contained within this KGMS - 2011 Annual Monitoring Report.
The results of the updated growth management data are encouraging. The number of
residents and jobs per hectare (RJs/ha) in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown) is
gradually increasing from approximately 151 RJs/ha last year to approximately 160
RJs/ha. This is an excellent step towards achieving the provincially-mandated target of
200 RJs/ha by 2031. Another significant achievement is that the amount of residential
development occurring in the Built-up Area is 56%. This now brings the 5 year average
to 41% which is very close to the target for urban municipalities within this region. The
City and other partners have undertaken significant efforts over the past decade to
support intensification which are now contributing to positive results.
2.0 Introduction
In 2009, Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS). The
KGMS provides a framework for planning where and how future residential and
employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener while positively contributing to
our quality of life. The goals and actions outlined in the KGMS support the provincial
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Downtown -King Street Adaptive Reuse -Lang Tannery
Warehouse District
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2011 Annual Monitoring Report
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Places to Grow Growth Plan for the Greater Horseshoe (Places to Grow) and the
Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS).
The KGMS introduced an ongoing growth management program to manage growth-
related change in an effective and coordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items
of KGMS Goal 6 is to prepare an Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report to
track the supply of development opportunities and the achievement of intensification and
density targets. In fulfillment of this action item, the first Annual Growth Management
Monitoring Report has been completed. The monitoring report is also an opportunity to
provide an update on the progress of implementing the KGMS action items along with
provincial and regional growth plans.
This monitoring report primarily updates the data from the KGMS Background Study:
Current Baseline Report (Parts 6-9). It presents a summary of recent residential
development rates and updates the potential capacity to accommodate growth both
within the Built-up Area (intensification areas) and in the Designated Greenfield Area.
The original data from the KGMS Background Study were as of June 16, 2008 (with
some of the existing residential data at the time coming from the 2006 Census). This
monitoring report updates the data to approximately June 16, 2011.
This section provides a summary of the number and status of plans of subdivision, plans
of condominium, part-lot control applications, consent applications and the number and
type of units created by approvals for 2010:
# of Applications Single/Semi/Towns Multiples
Subdivisions
Received 2 594 493
Draft Approvals 3 488 10
Registered Plans 11 961 34
Condominium
Received 19 369 718
Draft Approvals 18 395 146
Registered Plans 15 105 334
Part Lot Control 32 379 0
Consents 47 30 0
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4.0 Residential Development Rates
This section identifies the past development rates in the City of Kitchener regarding
construction of new residential units by dwelling type.
Figure 1: Residential Development Rates
New Residential Dwelling Units
Created Through Building Permit*
Dwelling Type
2009
2010 5-year
Average
(2006-10) 10-year
Average
(2001-10) 20-year
Average
(1991-2010)
Single Detached 469 577 632 787 630
Semi-Detached 52 75 95 79 86
Du lex 25 37 26 24 17
Townhouses 318 315 320 345 235
Multiple Dwellings** 305 255 338 331 242
Total New Units 1169 1259 1411 1566 1210
Gross new units (conversion/additions included, demolitions not subtracted)
~~ Includes additions. Does not include cluster townhouses.
There were 90 additional building permits issued for new residential dwelling units in
2010 compared to 2009. There was a noticeable increase in the number of building
permits issued for single detached and semi-detached dwellings due to the types of lots
in recent subdivision registrations. So far in 2011, the year-to-date number of new units
is already surpassing the total 2010 amount.
Although residential development rates over the past two years are lower than the
previous high as reflected in the 5- and 10-year average rates in the figure above, the
current rate is actually closer to the 20-year average and is getting closer to a more
sustainable pace.
5.0 Intensification Level
The Province's Places to Grow requires that a minimum of 40% of all new residential
development occur within a region's Built-up Area by the year 2015. According to the
Region of Waterloo's new Official Plan, the target for the urban municipalities including
Kitchener is 45%. This could be a challenge for some municipalities that still have a
significant amount of greenfield lands available and limited intensification opportunities.
Kitchener; however, is well positioned to achieve this target. The historic intensification
levels, as per the provincial Built Boundary Line methodology, are relatively high and are
indicated in Figure 2 below.
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Figure 2: Intensification Level (2001 to present)
Intensification Levels - 2001 to Present
Built Boundary Line Method
70
d
~ 60
J
~ 50
0 40
~ =' 30
N 20
~ 10
~ 0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Year
The 5-year average Intensification Level (2007-2011) is now at 41 % with the 10-year
average slightly higher at 44%.
The most recent measures of new residential units by type in the Built-up Area (BUA)
and Designated Greenfield Area (DGA) are indicated in Figure 3 below.
Figure 3: Intensification and Greenfield Development Levels (June 16/10 -June 15/111
Dwelling Type Greenfield Area
Building Permits Built-up Area
Building Permits
Total
Single Detached 505 63 568
Semi-Detached 30 6 36
Du lex 6 11 17
Street Townhouses 97 16 113
Cluster Townhouses 4 108 112
Multiple Dwellings 105 730 835
Tota I 747 934 1681
Percent of Total 44% 56% 100%
Between June 15, 2010 and June 16, 2011 the intensification level in Kitchener has
increased to 56% within the Built-up Area. The construction of new multiple dwelling
units (for example, the apartment buildings on Fallowfield Drive) contributes to this fairly
high rate. The intensification level may remain relatively high in the next few years as
more redevelopments occurs in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown), such as the City
Centre project, along with the construction of other multiple dwellings and remaining
subdivision lots that are located inside the Built-up Area. There will be additional
pressure in the Designated Greenfield Area as new subdivisions become ready for
development. It may be challenging to maintain a high intensification rate until such time
as most of the existing greenfield lands are exhausted.
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6.0 Intensification Areas -Existing Measures and Capacity for New Growth
This section quantifies the existing number of dwelling units, residents, jobs and density
measure for the currently identified intensification areas and also explores the potential
for accommodating new development within each of those areas based on the existing
zoning only.
Given the challenges with Municipal Property Assessment Corporation (MPAC) data
regarding accuracy of building floor space, this information is not contained within the
tables of this monitoring report.
Figure 4: Existing Measures and Additional Capacity for Current Intensification Areas
The non-residential building floor space data is currently being refined.
~~ UGC jobs reported as per Economic Development Downtown Database.
Intensification Area Units Residents Non-Residential Floor
Space (m2)* Jobs**
Existin Measures 8981 14060 30431
Additional Capacity 12147 24987 27832
With the introduction of new jobs created within the Urban Growth Centre (e.g. Google
and other companies occupying space at the Lang Tannery) the estimated density of the
UGC is steadily increasing from last years 151 RJs/ha to approximately 160 RJs/ha
(which includes 2176 dwelling units, 4126 residents and about 12952 jobs).
There are additional intensification projects currently happening or proposed in the UGC
such as the Breithaupt Block, Arrow Lofts and the City Centre development. These types
of projects not only help achieve the provincial numerical target but, perhaps more
importantly, they contribute positively to the social, environmental, economic and cultural
well-being of the community.
Capacity for New Growth
The existing residential and
employment capacity within the
intensification areas is slightly different
than last years report. In a number of
instances the data have been modified
and in others new zoning (such as the
mixed use corridors) is now in place
which affects the capacity for new
growth.
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7.0 Estimated Land Supply (Kitchener Measures)
The estimated land supply for Kitchener is a total of the potential capacity within the
Built-up Area and the Designated Greenfield Area. As development moves from raw
land through the development approvals stage and eventually to construction, the land
supply estimate items become more accurate.
7.1 Potential Built-Up Area (BUA) Supply
The intensification inventory includes lands within the Built Boundary Line. It is a
summary of the potential capacity within intensification areas (Figure 5), site specific
intensification opportunities (SSIOs such as brownfield or other isolated underutilized
parcels), a minor intensification factor within existing neighbourhoods and the potential
supply from registered, draft approved or future subdivisions that were captured in the
BUA.
Figure 6: Estimated Built-up Area Supply (intensification lands inside the Built Boundary)
Intensification Area Units Residents Non-Res.
Space (m2)* Jobs
Subtotal of Intensification
Areas 12147 24987 27832
Site Specific Intensification
Opportunities 2223 4017 545396 5726
Total of Current
Intensification Areas 14370 29004 * 33558
Community Interiors 1000 2460 0 66
Vacant Land Inventory
(Registered + others) 1030 2833 245066 3564
Draft A roved 180 516 0 14
In Circulation 0 0 0 0
Other Designated*** 27 75 0 2
Subtotal 2227 5869 3646
Total Potential Supply
(Current Zoning) 16597 34873 * 37204
The non-residential building floor space data is currently being refined.
~~ Does not include Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node which is in the Designated Greenfield Area.
~"~ Using 55 residents+jobs/ha scenario.
7.2 Potential Designated Greenfield Area Supply
The potential Greenfield inventory includes all lands outside the Built Boundary Line that
are designated for development in the City's Official Plan. It also includes lands that are
not designated in the Official Plan but are part of the City's Urban Area according to the
Region's Official Policies Plan, sometimes referred to as the ROPP Amendment No. 16
lands. Recent studies completed for these lands provide new population and
employment estimates that are relatively high from greenfield areas. The estimates will
become more refined as land parcels within this area move through the development
approval process.
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Figure 7: Estimated Maximum Total Supply -Greenfield (lands outside the Built Boundary)
Greenfield Location Units Residents Non-Res.
Space (m2) Jobs
Vacant Land Inventory
Re istered + others 4061 9957 98425 1620
Intensification Areas
(Greenfield) * 841 1515 8097 187
Site Specific Intensification
Areas Greenfield 0 0 50906 393
Draft Approved 5129 12059 162100 1305
In Circulation 1927 7658 0 207
Other Designated Lands** 2067 5287 43800 1150
Subtotal 14025 36476 363328 4862
1) Undesignated (ROPP 16
remainder)***
2) Rosenberg Secondary Plan 808
10650 1601
25200 0
176500 43
5350
Total 25483 63277 539828 10255
~lncludes Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node (outside Built Boundary Line) @ 50% scenario
~~ Using 55 residents+jobs/hectare assumption. Lands are net Provincial constraints only. No Hidden Valley.
~~~ Based on proponent's plan submission. Land use has not been finalized -estimates subject to change.
The total number of estimated dwelling units in the portion of the Designated Greenfield
Area that is currently designated in the City's Official Plan is about 1500 units lower than
last year. This is due to the issuance of building permits for those lots that area
progressing to construction.
7.3 Estimated Total Supply
The potential supply of both intensification and Greenfield inventories can be combined
to provide a total estimated inventory of potential new units and residents for Kitchener.
Figure 8: Estimated Total Supply: Intensification and Greenfield
Location Units Residents Non-Res.
Space (m2)* Jobs
Built-up Area (BUA) 16597 34873 37204
Designated Greenfield Area (DGA) 14025 36476 363328 4862
Total 30622 71349 * 42066
Undesignated (ROPP #16 remainder) 808 1601 0 43
Rosenberg Secondary Plan 10650 25200 176500 5350
Total including ROPP #16 lands
and Rosenberg Secondary Plan 42080 98150 * 47459
The non-residential floor space data is currently being refined.
The estimated total supply of dwelling units and residents has decreased since June
2008 which is expected as growth continues to occur.
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8.0 Current Capacity for Growth
This section compares the current population capacity compared to the 2029 planning
horizon population allocation.
Figure 9: Population Projections vs. Estimated Capacity
*Estimated mid- ear 2011 Po ulation 231,000
New Po ulation Ca acit 98,275
Total 329,275
2029 Population Allocation (new Region Official Plan) 313,500
Difference +15,775
Unofficial interim population estimate as of mid-year 2011. Regional Municipality of Waterloo
The table above shows that the lands within the City of Kitchener have a current
capacity for accommodating approximately 16,000 more residents than the population
allocation for the 2029 planning horizon. The new Region Official Plan also includes an
employment allocation of approximately 31,000 additional jobs. Figure 8 indicates that
Kitchener should have the capacity to accommodate the additional employment on
within our urban area.
9.0 Places to Grow Implementation
The City of Kitchener is presently undertaking a review of its Official Plan. The new
Official Plan will include policies that will further aid in the implementation of Places to
Grow. The KGMS annual monitoring report will also provide a mechanism for monitoring
new development and tracking Kitchener's achievements of provincial requirements.
Growth Forecasts
Regional allocations of population and employment forecast that Kitchener may grow by
approximately 100,000 persons and 30,000 jobs from 2006 to 2031. In response, the
City developed background information in support of the KGMS that analyses the growth
capacity of various areas of the City. As indicated in Section 8.0, Kitchener still has the
capacity to accommodate the allocated growth into appropriate areas.
Urban Growth Centre
The Province's Places to Grow
requires that our Urban Growth Centre
be planned to achieve a minimum of
200 persons and jobs per hectare by
2031. The present density is 160
RJs/ha. Kitchener is well on its way to
achieving the provincial target.
Intensification
The Province's Places to Grow
requires that a significant portion of
residential development be directed to
the BUA by 2015. Kitchener's target
t .~.
Rendering of Arrow Lofts on Benton Street
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according to the new Region Official Plan is 45%. To achieve and monitor this target on
a daily basis, the City has a dynamic system that tracks building permit issuance for new
residential units inside and outside the Built Boundary Line. The 5-year intensification
level average is 41 % and for the past year, Kitchener has had a 56% intensification
level. As a result, Kitchener appears to be able to achieve this target.
Greenfield Densities
Places to Grow mandates that future development within the DGA should achieve
specific, transit-supportive density targets. For our municipality, the target according to
the new Region Official Plan is 55 residents and jobs per hectare in residential
subdivisions. Kitchener is well positioned to meet this target. Plans of subdivision that
were already approved before Places to Grow and that are being recently constructed
were already exceeding 50 RJs/ha on average. Numerous plans that have received
recent approvals in Kitchener meet or exceed the tentative target of 55 RJs/ha and the
new Rosenberg Secondary Plan has planned land uses that could exceed this target.
Additional work is underway as part of the new Official Plan to further refine what this
means for specific areas in Kitchener. Also, the Kitchener Growth Management Plan
(KGMP) provides a tool that for identifying and tracking greenfield subdivision density.
Planning Principles
Planning a city is not just about achieving certain numerical targets. The majority of
Places to Grow includes policy direction to achieve healthy and complete communities.
Kitchener has long been a leader in promoting walkable, transit-supportive development.
Kitchener's efforts to continue to revitalize the Urban Growth Centre, clean up brownfield
sites and achieve mixed use developments that are pedestrian-oriented are significant.
We are further striving to enhance the linkages between land use planning and other
community considerations such as transportation options, community infrastructure,
social dynamics, economics and environmental conservation. Ultimately, the goal is to
help achieve a higher quality of life in a healthy and complete community.
10.0 Regional Growth Management Strategy Implementation
The goals outlined in the Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS), are largely
reflected in the goals of the KGMS. Many of the KGMS action items described in Section
11.0 below support the implementation of the RGMS as well. Additional initiatives that
support the RGMS include a new Five Best Bets Citizen's Air Quality Plan in 2011, the
LEAF program, preparation of the new Economic Development Strategy and the Official
Plan Review.
11.0 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy Implementation
The KGMS encompasses six goals that facilitate managing growth and development
within the City of Kitchener. These goals support the RGMS and have been adapted to
the City of Kitchener context. A significant share of the objectives, initiatives and
recommendations of the KGMS have been initiated and completed as listed below.
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Action Item Status
Goal 7 Enhance our valued natural and cultural
heritage resources
1 Greenlands Network Kitchener Natural Heritage Systems
project is complete. New Official Plan
underway.
2 Strengthen Official Plan: "Green" Review of "Green" Development
Policies project is complete. New
Official Plan is underway.
3 Updated Urban Design Manual: "Green" Updated in June 2010. Future
additional updates pending new
Official Plan.
4 Implement Groundwater Management Significant portion of Rosenberg
Objectives Secondary Plan now adopted by City
Council.
5 Heritage Inventory Mapping updated.
6 Cultural Heritage Landscapes (CHL) Proposed policies in new Official
Plan. CHL inventory is a pending
ro~ect.
Goal 2 Create vibrant urban spaces
1 Minimum Density Targets Part of Comprehensive Review of
Intensification Areas Project now
complete. Considerations in the new
Official Plan are underway.
2 Intensification Area Detailed Review/ Comprehensive Review of
Nodes and Corridors/ Commercial Intensification Areas Project is
Structure complete.
2A Sanitary Capacity Study Complete.
3 Explore the role of Fischer Hallman Road Part of SW Urban Area Studies:
in SW Kitchener and the potential fora Community Master and OPA 90 that
mixed use corridor is now adopted by City Council.
4 Intensification Opportunity Product Discussed and determined not to be
practical or feasible at this time.
Goal 3 Ensure reater trans ortation choice
1 Transportation Demand Management Being considered as part of the
Plan Transportation Master Plan.
2 Transportation Master Plan Underway.
2a Cycling Cycling Master Plan is complete.
Specific projects subject to Capital
Budget funding.
Goal 4 Foster a strong economy
1 Conduct a Comprehensive Review of Complete.
Employment Lands
2 Infrastructure Funding Stimulus funding received, projects
underway. GO Train pending, GO
bus now existing. Rapid Transit
funding and decisions made.
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Goal 5 Strengthen communities
1 Long Range Planning Ongoing
2 Future Park Planning Parks Master Plan is complete.
3 Community Infrastructure Plan Internal conformity review is
complete.
4 Prepare a Neighbourhood Strategy Project pending.
(Community Centres/Programming)
5 Affordable Housing Policies under consideration as part
of new Official Plan.
Goal 6 Manage change in an effective and
coordinated manner
1 Ongoing Program: Some improvements made to
Dynamic Data Capabilities automated reports. Specific data
items require new sources or quality
control effort.
1A Monitorin Re ort Com leted each ear.
1 B Growth Management Plan Kitchener Growth Management Plan
(KGMP) for 2009-2011approved in
2009. KGMP for 2011-2013 under
consideration for October 2011.
2 Greenfield Assessment (ROP) Assessment complete to respond to
new ROP policies and support draft
new City Official Plan policies that
are under review.
3 Southwest Regional Official Plan appeal issue
underway.
4 Improve coordination of growth Significant improvements in
management program with Development coordination of KGMP, DC and
Charges and Capital Budget Forecast Capital Budget Forecast process.
5 Communications Plan: Phase III Additional work required.
6 Partnershi s Underwa .
7 Prepare new Official Plan First draft is currently under review.
12.0 Kitchener Growth Management Plan
The Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) is an evolution of the former Staging
of Development program and is used as a tool to assist with the implementation of the
KGMS. The KGMP establishes priority levels for development and projects for each
growth area within the City of Kitchener. It includes the prioritization and allocation of
resources towards completing initiatives that are required to move lands from the draft
approval stage to registration, construction and developing complete communities. The
new KGMP - 2013 will be considered by City Council in October 2011.
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