HomeMy WebLinkAboutINS-13-022 - Natural Gas Rates REPORT TO: Finance and Corporate Services Committee DATE OF MEETING: May 27, 2013 SUBMITTED BY: Pauline Houston, Deputy CAO, 4646 PREPARED BY: Loraine Baillargeon, Manager Asset Optimization, 4532, Jim Gruenbauer, Manager Regulatory Affairs &Supply, 4255 WARD(S) INVOLVED: All DATE OF REPORT: May 17, 2013 REPORT NO.: INS-13-022 SUBJECT: NATURAL GAS RATES RECOMMENDATION: That the supply component of the natural gas rates be decreased to 16.5 cents per cubic meter from 17.5 cents per cubic meter for system gas customers of the City of Kitchener effective July 1, 2013; and, That the transportation component of the natural gas rate no longer bebased on TCPL tolls as approved by the NEB and instead reflect the average forecast cost of transportation andbe decreased to 4.0 cents per cubic meter from 6.182 cents per cubic meter effective July 1, 2013 to phase-in the new rate-setting approach; and further, That the delivery components of the natural gas rates no longer be based on Union Gas base rates as approved by the OEB and instead reflect a modified cost-of-service approach to fully recover all utility costs, including earnings and a fixed dividend to the City, with changes as proposed in INS-13-022 - Appendix A for all Kitchener delivery customers effective July 1, 2013 to phase-in the new rate-setting approach. BACKGROUND: Kitchener Utilities (KU) began a natural gas supply program in April 1998 to arrange supply for KU customers who did not choose to buy from a gas marketer. The program was initiated to mitigate the volatility of natural gas prices and eliminate retroactive billing that had become commonplace with past provider, Union Gas. system gas program uses a disciplined approach to secure gas contracts in a diversified portfolio to strive for a low risk, reasonable cost alternative to the current retail offerings. The supply program is a cost-based service and does not cross-subsidize with other KU profits. Since the beginning of the supply program, KU has met its and more predictable prices [refer to Appendix B]. KU continues to mitigate price volatility and risk through active management of the portfolio of supply contracts. 5 - 1 REPORT: Gas rates are changed, at least annually, driven by various events. The gas rates have three components, Gas Supply, Gas Transportation and Gas Delivery. is the charge for the natural gas commodity, fuel and administration. The Gas Supply rate is determined based on committed and planned purchases, forecast consumption, overhead and inventory carryover. The total dollar value is divided by the forecast consumption to determine the rate needed to recover the costs. The 2013 operating budget will be affected in that the budget rate is slightly higher than the proposed rate. The expiry of some higher priced supply contracts and lower market prices has permitted this reduction. is the rate charged to bring gas to the Ontario border via pipeline. historical practice set the transportation component of its natural gas rates by using toll for TransCanada Pipelines firm transportation service. As set out in INS-12-065 (Gas Rates Redesign Delivery & Transportation), effective November 1, 2012, KU no longer holds any TCPL contracts to transport gas from Alberta to Ontario. Accordingly, the rate for gas transportation approved by Council should no longer be based on TCPL tolls as set by the NEB. Similar to the supply of gas, the transportation of gas must be operated on a not-for-profit basis to align with Ontario Energy B approved rate-making principles. Therefore, the surplus of gas transportation revenues over costs on a planned basis must be eliminated.Staff is proposing to reduce the transportation rate to one that is more reflective of actual costs. The budget assumed a phased-in reduction in the transportation rate to better align it with costs and OEB approved rate-making principles. The proposed rate is identical to the budget rate. meter. This includes transmission within Ontario (pipeline border to Kitchener, storage costs), pipeline infrastructure and maintenance (within Kitchener), meter reading and bill processing. delivery rates approved by the OEB for use by Union Gas in the Southern delivery area. For budget purposes using this approach, the delivery rates are an external input which constrains revenues and cost recovery. There are two components to the delivery rate: a daily fixed charge and a variable rate that is charged for the actual or estimated volumes consumed in a particular billing period. As set out in INS-12-065, under a modified OEB-style cost of service approach to rate-setting, are a controllable output of the budget process and, for 2013, must increase. This will preserve overall utility revenues and fully recover KU costs of service, including earnings and a fixed dividend to the City.The proposed delivery rates reflect this increase, including an increase of 1 cent per m3 in the variable rate to fund approved capital projects for the municipal gas utility, including work related to the LRT. The budget may be impacted by consumption variances from forecast. The budget assumed a phased-in implementation of the shift in rate-making methodologies from matching TCPL and Union Gas rates to a methodology for reinvestment and a fixed dividend to the City. 5 - 2 Supply Program Fix Future Prices or Buy at Spot Price? KU buys gas supplies for future consumption by its system customers using a combination of fixed and spot (floating) prices. Staff closely monitors and actively manages the portfolio of supply contracts and its average price for planned purchases (based on normal weather) up to five years into the future. As mandated by the OEB, Union Gas passively manages its supply program and relies solely on spot and short-term purchases of gas. Similar to Union Gas, supply program is not for profit and serves the majority of However, there are risks / benefits and trade-offs between the two approaches to buying the natural gas commodity. The approaches are fundamentally different. Some residents in Kitchener have questioned the Mayor and members of Council about the gap between the gas supply rates of Union Gas and KU. These inquiries have only arisen in the past conditions.The lower gas supply rate in adjacent municipalities such as Waterloo has raised relative passive supply program. Due to mandated reliance on spot and short-term purchases of gas, its system customers are fully and promptly exposed to price volatility - benefiting during falling markets but harmed in rising markets. Rates change quarterly. supply program is driven by a preference for stable rates by the majority (79%) of KU customers. This preference for stable gas rates in Kitchener is supported by continuous customer research and surveys.KU gas rates typically change on an annual basis. Importantly, Customers who want rate stability when market prices are rising yet expect their rates to decrease in lock step under a falling market misunderstand or unfairly ignore the basic trade-off between stable and variable rates. This trade-off necessarily means giving up the chance to pay lower prices in future in exchange for avoiding the risk of paying higher prices. This is a similar trade-off as is made when choosing between a fixed or floating interest rate for a mortgage. Gas customers in Kitchener as in Waterloo and elsewhere have access to competitive supply programs from energy marketers.This provides customers with choices among fixed and variable prices. While a fundamental change to KU improvements have been made to the management of commodity price risk.These improvements better align the trade-offs between stable and variable rates in both rising and falling markets to meet customer expectations without engaging in risky attempts to time the market.Guidance will be given to staff to hedge (fix prices) only when necessary to protect the rate to declining market prices while protecting against price spikes. its managed program and instead to buy gas supply solely on a spot and short-term basis was a case of lucky timing.Hindsight does not serve KU well when considering a basic change in its 5 - 3 approach from a managed approach designed to provide rate stability and predictability to a passive spot approach that provides fluctuating and unpredictable market prices. Using foresight informed by a current consensus view of experts who expect market prices to rise perhaps significantly due to increased demand for gas coupled with tighter supplies, there is a real risk that adopting a basic change in how KU buys gas supply at this time or in the near future could turn out as very bad timing. In conclusion, no major change to actively managed gas supply program is recommended as the majority of its system customers continue to prefer stable rates. Should the preference of the majority of system customers change in favour of variable rates, or if there is significant migration of customers to competing energy marketers, then it would make sense for KU to adopt a passively managed supply program based on spot and short term purchases of gas. Neither of these factors is expected to arise. ALIGNMENT WITH CITY OF KITCHENER STRATEGIC PLAN: Theme: Financial Management Strategic Direction: - Invest and manage assets strategically; - Ensure responsible use of public funds within a supportive policy framework; - Maximize value through cost effective service delivery FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS: The combined impact of the supply, transportation and delivery rates for the majority of residential, commercial and industrial customers supplied by KU system gas are offsetting and result in no impact on their annual gas bills. The overall annual bill impact for the minority of customers supplied under direct purchase contracts with energy marketers will vary based upon their consumption. Unlike system customers, most direct purchase customers will not receive a reduction in their supply or transportation rates (as billed by their energy marketer) to offset the proposed increase in delivery rates that is necessary to fully recover costs. However, staff estimates that the overall annual bill impact should not exceed an 11% increase for any of these affected customers and will be less for most of them. CONCLUSION: KU will work with the Communications Division to ensure that media outlets are provided with a press release to inform customers, an insert is being prepared to be distributed with utility bills in July, and an alert will be printed on the envelopes regarding rate changes.Individual correspondence will be sent to the largest direct purchase customers that are most impacted by the proposed rate change. ACKNOWLEDGED BY: Pauline Houston,Deputy CAO 5 - 4 APPENDIX A CORPORATION OF THE CITY OF KITCHENER NATURAL GAS GENERAL SERVICE RATE M1 Applicability To residential and non-contract commercial and industrial customers that consume less than 50,000 m3/year. Rate Daily Fixed Charge $ .69 and VARIABLE COMMODITY & TRANSPORTATIONNET RATE DELIVERY FUEL RATE 3333 ¢/m¢/m¢/m¢/m 3 First100m7.699216.54.028.1992 3 Next150m7.504716.54.028.0047 3 All Over250m7.044716.54.027.5477 Supplemental Service to Commercial and Industrial Customers Under Group Meters Combination of readings from several meters may be authorized where meters are located on contiguous pieces of property of the same owner not delivered by a public right-of-way. In such cases, an additional service charge shall be rendered each month in the amount of $15.00 per month for each additional meter so combined. This service is to assist in the billing administration of the for multiple meters on the same property. It does not contemplate amalgamating the consumption readings for the purpose of qualifying for lower delivery rates.. Meter Readings Gas consumption by each customer under this rate schedule shall be determined by periodic meter readings, provided that in circumstances beyond the control of the Company, such as strikes or non-access to a meter. The Company may estimate the monthly consumption between the meter readings and render a monthly bill to the customer. Effective July 1, 2013 Policy Relating to Terms of Service 1)Gas purchased under this rate schedule shall not be resold, directly or indirectly by the customer, unless resold as 2)Customers who temporarily discontinue service during any twelve consecutive months without payment of the monthly fixed charge for the months in which the gas is temporarily disconnected shall pay for disconnection and reconnection. 5 - 5 CORPORATION OF THE CITY OF KITCHENER NATURAL GAS GENERAL SERVICE RATE M2 Applicability To residential and non-contract commercial and industrial customers that consume 50,000 m3 and more per year . Rate Daily Fixed Charge $2.30 and VARIABLE COMMODITY & TRANSPORTATIONNET RATE DELIVERY FUEL RATE 3333 ¢/m¢/m¢/m¢/m 3 First1,000 m7.646616.54.028.1466 3 Next6,000m7.567716.54.028.0677 3 Next13,000 m7.332616.54.027.8326 3 All over20,000 m7.050516.54.027.5505 Supplemental Service to Commercial and Industrial Customers Under Group Meters Combination of readings from several meters may be authorized where meters are located on contiguous pieces of property of the same owner not delivered by a public right-of-way. In such cases, an additional service charge shall be rendered each month in the amount of $15.00 per month for each additional meter so combined. This service is to assist in the billing administration of the for multiple meters on the same property. It does not contemplate amalgamating the consumption readings for the purpose of qualifying for lower delivery rates. Meter Readings Gas consumption by each customer under this rate schedule shall be determined by periodic meter readings, provided that in circumstances beyond the control of the Company, such as strikes or non-access to a meter. The Company may estimate the monthly consumption between the meter readings and render a monthly bill to the customer. Effective July 1, 2013 Policy Relating to Terms of Service 2)Gas purchased under this rate schedule shall not be resold, directly or indirectly by the customer, unless resold as 3)Customers who temporarily discontinue service during any twelve consecutive months without payment of the monthly fixed charge for the months in which the gas is temporarily disconnected shall pay for disconnection and reconnection. 5 - 6 CORPORATION OF THE CITY OF KITCHENER NATURAL GAS FIRM INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL CONTRACT RATE M4 Applicability To a customer who enters into a contract for a minimum term of one year, that specifies a daily contracted demand as follows: 33 Between 4,800 m and 140,870 m. Rate 1. Bills will be rendered monthly and shall be the total of: 3 ¢/m i)A Monthly Demand Charge 3 First8,450 mof the daily contracted demand,45.90 3 Next19,700 mof the daily contracted demand,19.80 33 All mover28,150mof the daily contracted demand,16.80 ii)A Monthly Delivery Charge First 422, 250 m3 delivered per month.80 Next volume equal to 15 daysuse of daily contracted demand.80 For remainder of volumes delivered in the month.40 iii)A Monthly Gas Supply Rate Utility Sales Commodity & Fuel16.5 Transportation4.0 20.5 2. Over-run Charge Authorized overrun gas is available provided that it is authorized by the Corporation in advance. The Corporation will not unreasonably withhold authorization. Overrun means gas taken on any day in excess of 103% of contracted daily demand. 3 Authorized overrun will be available April 1 through October 31, and will be paid for at the rate of 2.0640 ¢/m for the 3 delivery and, if applicable, a gas supply rate of 20.5¢/m. 3 Unauthorized overrun in any month shall be paid for at the rate of 7.6466¢/m for the delivery and total gas supply charge 3 for system supplied volumes at the rate of 20.5¢/m. 3. Minimum Annual Charge In each contract year, the customer shall purchase from the Corporation or pay for a minimum volume of gas equivalent to 150 days use of contracted demand. Overrun gas volumes will not contribute to the minimum volume. In the event that the customer shall not take such minimum volume, the customer shall pay an amount equal to the deficiency from the 33 minimum volume times a rate of 4.5¢/m, and if applicable, a gas supply charge of20.5¢/m. In the event that the contract period exceeds one year, the annual minimum volume will be pro-rated for any part year. Effective July 1, 2013 Policy Relating to Terms of Service Gas purchased under this rate shall not be resold, directly or indirectly by the customer. 5 - 7 CORPORATION OF THE CITY OF KITCHENER NATURAL GAS INTERRUPTIBLE INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL CONTRACT RATE M5 Applicability To a Customer who: 3 A) enters into a contract for a minimum term of one year that specifies a daily contracted demand between 4,800 m and 3 140,870 m inclusive. and, B) has an alternate fuel supply and combustion system available. Rate 1. The price of all gas delivered shall be determined on the basis of the following schedules: Monthly Fixed Charge $560.00 and 3 ¢/m A) Delivery Charge Daily Contracted Demand Level (CD) 33 4,800 m<CD 17,000 m2.4039 33 17,000 m<CD30,000 m2.2611 33 30,000 m<CD 50,000 m2.1859 33 50,000 m<CD 70,000 m2.1332 33 70,000 m<CD100,000 m2.0955 33 100,000 m<CD140,870 m2.0584 B) Gas Supply Rate Utility Sales Commodity & Fuel16.5 Transportation4.0 20.5 2. Over-run Charge Authorized overrun gas is available provided that it is authorized by the Corporation in advance. The Corporation will not unreasonably withhold authorization. Overrun means gas taken on any day in excess of 105% of contracted daily demand. 3 Authorized overrun will be available April 1 through October 31, and will be paid for at the rate of 2.0640 ¢/m for the 3 delivery and, if applicable, a gas supply rate of 20.5¢/m. 3 Unauthorized overrun in any month shall be paid for at the rate of 7.6466¢/m for the delivery and total gas supply charge 3 for system supplied volumes at the rate of 20.5¢/m. 3. Minimum Annual Charge In each contract year, the customer shall purchase from the Corporation or pay for a minimum volume of gas equivalent to 3 150 days use of contracted demand which will not be less than 700,000 m per annum. Overrun volumes will not contribute to the minimum volume. In the event that the customer shall not take such minimum volume, the customer shall 3 pay an amount equal to the deficiency from the minimum volume times 4.5¢/mfor the delivery charge and if applicable, a 3 gas supply charge of 20.5¢/m). Effective July 1, 2013 Policy Relating to Terms of Reference Gas purchased under this rate shall not be resold, directly or indirectly by the customer. 5 - 8 5 - 9