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HomeMy WebLinkAboutFCS-13-061 - Performance Indicators Update REPORT TO: Finance and Corporate Services Committee DATE OF MEETING: May 27, 2013 SUBMITTED BY: Ryan Hagey, Director of Financial Planning 519-741-2200 x7353 PREPARED BY: Ryan Hagey, Director of Financial Planning 519-741-2200 x7353 WARD(S) INVOLVED: All DATE OF REPORT: April 30, 2013 REPORT NO.: FCS-13-061 SUBJECT: Performance Indicators Update RECOMMENDATION: For discussion. BACKGROUND: In conjunction with the April 2012 Variance Report (FCS-12-108), staff proposed a number of performance indicators that could be prepared on a monthly basis and would provide Council with some indication as to the financial performance of the organization.At the June 25 meeting, Council passed the following motion: That staff be directed to provide monthly updates to Council on the indicators listed in Table 1 of Appendix A to report FCS-12-108; and further, That staff be directed to review the resource requirements associated with providing monthly indicators, along with the value to Council of receiving the information, after twelve (12) months. Appendix A from report FCS-12-108 has been included as Appendix A of this report. It provides a listing of the twelve indicators approved by Council and the rationale for each indicator. The remainder of the report addresses the predictive value of the indicators and the amount of time required to produce the indicators each month. REPORT: Predictive Value of the Performance Indicators The twelve indicators approved by Council were chosen as they represented areas of historic operations. The indicators were chosen because they were thought to have some correlation to financial performance, and therefore some predictive value. For example, if the number of golf rounds played was above the benchmark, this should indicate that golf revenues would be better than budgeted. 6 - 1 Appendix B to this report shows the correlation between the twelve performance indicators and the associated area of budget volatility based on the results reported to Council during the 2012 Year End Variance report (FCS-13-032). The chart below summarizes the amount of correlation between the indicators and the actual performance at the end of 2012.The indicators have been placed into one of three categories based on their ability to predict the actual outcome in the associated area of budget volatility. The categories are defined as: Strong Correlation Indicator correctly predicted a surplus/deficit as well as the relative size of the surplus/deficit. Weak Correlation Indicator correctly predicted a surplus/deficit, but not the relative size of the surplus/deficit. No Correlation Indicator did not correctly predict a surplus/deficit. Strong CorrelationWeak CorrelationNo Correlation (Good predictor)(Mediocre predictor)(Poor predictor) Average Investment BalanceBylaw Tickets IssuedSportsfield Hours Booked Average Interest RateNumber of Winter StormsHeating Degree Days Building Permits IssuedGolf Rounds Played Monthly Parkers Fuel Price Fuel Consumption Cubic Metres of Water Sold The chart shows that the majority of the twelve indicators have a strong correlation to actual performance, and are therefore good predictors. Three indicators have a weak correlation to actual performance, while two indicators had no correlation to actual performance.For the two indicators that have no correlation to actual performance, there are extenuating circumstances that caused them to have no predictive value in 2012. Sportfield hours booked were 4.4% better than the benchmark, which would predict additional revenues and therefore a modest surplus in this budget. The actual performance was a deficit of $316,009 or 33.8%, but was due to additional expenses incurred from an earlier start to the maintenance season and additional taxes for Budd Park. Heating Degree Days was 11.5% below the benchmark, which would predict a shortfall in Gas Delivery revenues. The actual performance was a surplus of $3.8M or 10.5%. The surplus was experienced because the budget assumed a reduction in the transportation portion of the Gas Delivery rate, but it did not occur in 2012. Suggested Improvement If Council chooses to continue receiving the performance indicators on a monthly basis, staff suggest adding a summary dashboard as part of the performance indicators package to improve understandability. An example is included as Appendix C to this report and includes a summary of: a) how the indicator is performing versus the benchmark b) how the indicator is performing versus the prior period c) whether the indicators are predicting a surplus or deficit 6 - 2 Summary The majority of performance indicators correctly predicted a surplus/deficit in the associated area of budget volatility. Only two of the twelve indicators provided an incorrect prediction and they were both due to extenuating circumstances. Therefore, the set of indicators used for the twelve month trial has value in predicting variances in the associated are of budget volatility at the end of the year. Time Required to Prepare Performance Indicators The estimated total amount of staff time to prepare the performance indicators is approximately 20 hours each month. This includes collecting all of the necessary data, updating the graphs, updating written comments, preparing the final product to be sent to Council and posting it on the City website. In addition to the time to prepare the monthly update, once per year the benchmark figures are updated. This takes approximately 30 hours of staff time to complete. ALIGNMENT WITH CITY OF KITCHENER STRATEGIC PLAN: This reporting falls within the Efficient and Effective Government plan foundation area of the Strategic Plan. It helps support the financial goal of ensuring openness and transparency of city finances. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS: None. Performance indicators are prepared by staff COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT: Inform This report has been posted publicly as part of the agenda to inform the public. ACKNOWLEDGED BY: Dan Chapman, DeputyCAO, Finance & Corporate Services 6 - 3 Appendix A Performance Indicators Table 1 Areas of Budget Volatility and Proposed Performance Indicators (Items specifically requested by Council have been noted with a Area of Budget Volatility Proposed Indicator Rationale Indicator Tax Supported Investment Income Average Interest Investment income is determined by Rate & Balance investment rates and balances. By-law Fines # of Tickets Issued The # of tickets issued directly correlates to fine revenue. * Winter Control # of Snow Events The # of snow events directly correlates to the costs of winter control. Fuel Fuel Price & Fuel price correlates with fuel costs and is Fuel Consumption the most variable component of this budget area. * Sportsfields, Parks & Trails # of Hours Booked The # of hours booked on sportsfields on Sportsfields has a correlation with revenues, which have been the most variable component of this budget area. Site Plan Revenues # of Building The # of building permits has some Permits correlation with site plan revenues as both are related to new development. Enterprises Building # of Building The # of building permits has a Permits correlation with revenues, which have been the most variable component of this budget area. * Golf # of Rounds Played The # of rounds played has a correlation with revenues, which have been the most variable component of this budget area. * Parking # of Monthly The # of monthly parkers has a Parkers correlation with revenues, which have been the most variable component of this budget area. Water & Sanitary Water Sales to The amount of water sales to customers Customers (in m3) has a correlation with both revenues and expenses in these budget areas. Storm Water None None proposed as revenues and expenses are generally stable. * Gas Heating Degree Heating Degree Days has a correlation Days with both revenues and expenses in these budget areas. 6 - 4 6 - 5 Appendix C Performance Indicator Dashboard Comparison to Trend from Indicator Prior Period* Benchmark Average Investment BalancesGreen Average Interest RateGreen By-law Tickets IssuedRed Building Permits IssuedRed Monthly ParkersRed Number of WinterStormsGreen Sportfield Hours BookedGreen Golf Rounds PlayedGreen Fuel PriceYellow Fuel ConsumptionGreen Heating Degree DaysRed Cubic Metres of Water SoldYellow * Trend arrows are determined by comparing indicator value for this period versus the prior period. Comparison to Benchmark Summary: ColourCountMeaning Green6Indicator is better than the benchmark Yellow2Indicator is between 0% to -10% worse than the benchmark Red4Indicator is more than -10% worse than the benchmark Dashboard Summary: The indicators are split evenly between being better or worse than the benchmark. This trend does not suggest either a surplus or deficit for City operations. 6 - 6