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Home My WebLink AboutCSD-13-076 - Kitchener Growth Management Strategy - Annual Monitoring Report REPORT TO:Community and Infrastructure Services Committee DATE OF MEETING: September 9, 2013 SUBMITTED BY: Alain Pinard, Director of Planning PREPARED BY: Sarah Coutu, Policy Analyst (519-741-2200 ext. 7069) Garett Stevenson, Senior Planner (519-741-2200 ext. 7070) WARD(S) INVOLVED: All Wards DATE OF REPORT: August 14, 2013 REPORT NO.: CSD-13-076 SUBJECT: Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2013 Annual Monitoring Report RECOMMENDATION: 1. That Report CSD 13-076, Kitchener Growth Management Strategy – 2013 Annual Monitoring Report be received for information; and 2. That Report CSD 13-076 be submitted to the Regional Municipality of Waterloo in fulfilment of Clause 22.1 of the Administrative Agreement between the City of Kitchener and the Regional Municipality of Waterloo regarding delegated authority. BACKGROUND: The purpose of this report is to provide Committee and Council with the 2013 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy Annual Monitoring Report (Monitoring Report) information. The Monitoring Report is an action item of the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) which requires tracking of the general supply of land and the achievement of intensification and density targets on an annual basis. REPORT: In 2009 Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS). The KGMS provides a long-term framework for planning where and how future residential and employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener. To ensure that growth contributes positively to our quality of life, the KGMS coordinates the provision of infrastructure and services with new development. The KGMS goals and actions support the Province’s Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe (Places to Grow) and Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS). The KGMS introduced an ongoing growth management program to manage growth-related change in an effective and co-ordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of the KGMS Goal 6 is to prepare an Annual Monitoring Report to track the supply of development opportunities and the achievement of intensification and density targets. Monitoring reports were prepared in 2010, 2011 and 2012. The 2013 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report (Attachment A) monitors growth within the built-up (intensification areas) and designated greenfield areas of the City over the past year (June 2012 to June 2013) and provides a summary of observations and changes that may have occurred during this time frame compared to previous years. The report also provides an analysis of how this information relates to Places to Grow initiatives and the RGMS. There is an interest in ascertaining more information about small-scale “infill” housing. Staff will be working on ways to enhance the tracking of that information following this Monitoring Report. 1 - 1 Highlights The results of the updated growth management data are encouraging. The estimated density of the Urban Growth Centre increased from 154RJs/ha in 2012 to 155RJs/ha in 2013. Kitchener is well on its way to achieving the provincially-mandated target of 200 RJs/ha by 2031 Between June 16, 2012 and June 15, 2013, the City’s intensification level within the built-up area increased from 25% in the previous reporting year to 58%. The 5 and 10-year average intensification levels show that the City is well positioned to achieve the required target. The number of new residential units created through building permits in 2012 was lower than in 2011. This is mainly due to an above average construction level in 2011 (specifically for multiple dwellings) as well as a number of other factors. The number of units created through building permits for the first 6 months of 2013 (January-June) is higher than the same time in 2012. Given that the annual rate can fluctuate based on a variety of factors, it is important to review residential development rates based on a 5, 10 and 20 year averages. Also noteworthy, the total number of subdivision draft approved units in 2012 (3114 units) significantly increased over the total number of units draft approved in 2011 (77 units) and may be the highest number of any year! The number of subdivision registrations also increased in 2012. ALIGNMENT WITH CITY OF KITCHENER STRATEGIC PLAN: The 2013 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report implements, in part, the KGMS. The KGMS aligns with the City of Kitchener Strategic Plan community priority of ‘Development’ as it is an ongoing growth management program that manages growth-related change in an effective and co-ordinated manner. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS: There are no new or additional capital budget requests with this recommendation. COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT: INFORM - this report is an information update. The 2013 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report will be a public document and will be posted on the City’s website. The Monitoring Report was also presented to the Waterloo Region Homebuilders Liaison Committee for discussion in August. CONCLUSION: The information outlined in Attachment A implements one of the action items of Goal 6 of the KGMS, which is to establish an ongoing growth management program including the preparation of an annual monitoring report. REVIEWED BY: Brandon Sloan, Manager, Long Range and Policy Planning ACKNOWLEDGED BY: Michael May, Deputy CAO Community Services Department Attachment: Attachment A - 2013 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report 1 - 2 1 - 3 ExecutiveSummary Growthmanagementisacommunitypriority.KitchenerCityCouncilapprovedtheKitchener GrowthManagementStrategy(KGMS)insupportofthe/╜ĊŦStrategicPlan.Kitcheneris expectedtoaccommodatearelativelysignificantamountofresidentialandemploymentgrowth overthenexttwentyyears.WearealsomandatedbytheProvincetoachievecertainnumerical targetsandotherplanningobjectives. Kitchenerisontheleadingedgewithrespecttotheabilitytotrackandmonitorspecificgrowth datainadynamicmanner.AspartofY╜Ċľ╙ś■śŉongoinggrowthmanagementprogramthe intentistocontinuallyrefinethedata,improvethedynamiccapabilitiesandprovide informationtohelpsupportnumerouscorporatestudiesandinfrastructureprojects.A ofthedataiscontainedwithinthisreport. Sincethe2012MonitoringReportanumberoftheKGMSobjectives,initiativesand recommendationsarefurthercompletedorarenearingcompletion.Theresultsoftheupdated couraging.Thenumberofresidentsandjobsperhectare growthmanagementdataareen (RJs/ha)intheUrbanGrowthCentre(Downtown)isgraduallyincreasingfromapproximately 154RJs/halastyeartoapproximately155RJs/ha.Thisisanexcellentsteptowardsachievingthe provinciallymandatedtargetof200RJs/haby2031.Anothersignificantachievementisthat betweenJune16,2012andJune15,2013,the/╜ĊŦintensificationlevelwithinitsBuiltUpArea increasedfrom25%inthepreviousreportingyearto58%.Thisnowbringsthe5yearaverage to45%whichmeetsthedrafttargetforurbanmunicipalitieswithinthisregion. Thenumberofnewresidentialunitscreatedthroughbuildingpermitsin2012waslowerthanin 2011.Thisismainlyduetoanaboveaverageconstructionlevelin2011(especiallyfor apartments)andanumberofotherfactors.Sofar,the2013yeartodatenumberofdwelling unitscreatedthroughbuildingpermitsishigherthanthesametimein2012.Thispastyearhas alsoseenwhatmaybearecordnumberofdraftapprovedsubdivisionresidentialunits(over 3000!). TheCityandotherpartnershaveundertakensignificanteffortsoverthepastdecadetosupport intensificationwhichcontinuestocontributetopositiveresults. 1 - 4 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 1.0Introduction In2009,CouncilapprovedtheKitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy(KGMS).TheKGMS providesaframeworkforplanningwhereandhowfutureresidentialandemploymentgrowth canbeaccommodatedinKitchenerwhilepositivelycontributingtoourqualityoflife.Thegoals andactionsoutlinedintheKGMSsupporttheprovincialPlacestoGrowGrowthPlanforthe GreaterHorseshoe(PlacestoGrow)andtheRegionalGrowthManagementStrategy(RGMS). TheKGMSintroducedanongoinggrowthmanagementprogramtomanagegrowthrelated changeinaneffectiveandcoordinatedmanner(Goal6).Oneoftheactionitemsofthisgoalis toprepareanAnnualGrowthManagementMonitoringReporttotrackthesupplyof developmentopportunitiesandtheachievementofintensificationanddensitytargets. MonitoringReportshavebeenpreparedandpresentedtoCouncilandthedevelopment industryin2010,2011and2012.TheMonitoringreportprovidesanupdateontheprogressof implementingtheKGMSactionitemsalongwithprovincialandregionalgrowthplans. MSBackground TheprimarypurposeoftheMonitoringReportistoupdatedatafromtheKG Study:CurrentBaselineReport(Parts69)annually.Itpresentsasummaryofrecentresidential developmentratesandupdatesthepotentialcapacitytoaccommodategrowthbothwithinthe BuiltUpArea(intensificationareas)andintheDesignatedGreenfieldArea.Theoriginaldata fromtheKGMSBackgroundStudywasasofJune16,2008(withsomeoftheexistingresidential dataatthetimecomingfromthe2006Census). Thismonitoringreportcapturesa¤ℓ■Ă♫ℓ╙◘Ċofalldata,withtheexceptionofSections3and4, asofJune16,2013(theanniversarydateoftheGrowthPlanfortheGreaterGoldenHorseshoe ofwhichmuchofthedataiscomparedtotherequirementsof). 1 1 - 5 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 2.0DelegatedApprovalAuthoritySummaryfor2012 Thissectionprovidesasummaryofthenumberandstatusofplansofsubdivision,plansof condominium,partlotcontrolapplications,consentapplicationsandthenumberandtypeof unitscreatedbyapprovalsfor2012.ThisisarequirementofanagreementbetweentheCity andRegionregardingDelegatedApprovalAuthority. Figure1:2012DevelopmentApplicationsReceived Singles,Multiple SemisorResidential StreetUnits Fronting(includes #ofTownhousecluster ApplicationsFileNumberLocationUnits*townhouse) 30T12201EdenOakTrail330 30T12202CaryndaleDr830 Subdivisions3 30T12203CaryndaleDr3346 30CDM11212CourtlandAveE048 30CDM12201DixonSt08 30CDM12202OldHuronRd012 30CDM12203OldHuronRd028 30CDM12204IsaiahDr4237 Condominiums9 30CDM12205MorganAve047 30CDM12206ChurchSt040 30CDM12207BentonSt00 30CDM12208QueenStS041 PartLot 7 Control Consents33 TOTAL52 Thenumberofdevelopmentapplications(fornewlotcreation)receivedin2012(52 applications)waslowerthanthenumberreceivedin2011(91applications). *Note:Throughoutthisdocument¤Ü■╜Ċℓreferstoresidentialdwellingunits. 2 1 - 6 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 Figure2:2012DevelopmentApplicationsApproved Singles,SemisorStreetMultipleResidentialUnits 2012 FrontingTownhouseUnits(includesclustertownhouse) SubdivisionDraft 14311683 ApprovedUnits CondominiumDraft 0495 ApprovedUnits* 43277 SubdivisionRegistered Units 15FutureResBlocks3MultipleResBlocks CondominiumRegistered 12624 Units* PartLotControl150 Consents643MultipleResBlocks *Includescondominiumconversions Thetotalnumberofsubdivisiondraftapprovedunitsin2012(3114units)verysignificantly increasedoverthetotalnumberofunitsdraftapprovedin2011(77units).Infact,the2012 totalisthemostinanyyearsinceatleast1989andmaybethehighestonrecord!Someofthe largedraftapprovalsincludetheRockwaysubdivisioninGrandRiverSouth,TruVillain Rosenbergand1AdamStreet(VictoriaCommon).Thenumberofsubdivisionregisteredunitsin 2012(508units,18Blocks)increasedslightlyfrom2011(484units,3MultipleBlocks). 4.0ResidentialDevelopmentRates ThissectionidentifiesthepastdevelopmentratesintheCityofKitchenerregardingconstruction ofnewresidentialunitsbydwellingtype. Figure3:ResidentialDevelopmentRates NewResidentialDwellingUnitsCreated ThroughBuildingPermit* 10year 5yearAverage20year Average(2003Average DwellingType20112012(20082012)2012)(19932012) SingleDetached586393533719651 SemiDetached2914477770 Duplex**334242316 Townhouses***120307272325232 MultipleDwellings****838249343352261 TotalNewUnits1,6069671,2181,4951,229 *Grossnewunits(conversion/additionsincluded,demolitionsnotsubtracted) **Includesadditions ***Includesstreetfrontingandclustertownhouses ****Includesadditions 3 1 - 7 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 In2012,buildingpermitswereissuedforatotalof967newresidentialunits.Thisisadecrease of639residentialunitscomparedto2011withmostofthedecreasebeinginmultipledwellings. Thisdecreasein2012canbeattributedtothefactthatthree(3)largeapartmentbuildingswere issuedpermitsin2011(somerightattheendoftheyear),thusaccountingforasignificantly aboveaveragenumberofmultipledwellingunitsfor2011.Multipledwellingsstillaccountedfor justover25%ofthetotalunitsin2012.Whiletherewasadecreaseinthenumberofmultiple dwellingsconstructedlastyear(althoughstillclosetoanaveragenumber),2012sawan increaseinthenumberofbuildingpermittedissuesfortownhousescomparedto2011.The numberoftownhousedwellingunitsconstructedin2010was315,whichiscomparabletothe 2012rate. Althoughtheresidentialdevelopmentratesin2012werelowerthanin2011,theyeartodate stth (January1toJune30)numberofdwellingunitscreatedthroughbuildingpermitsfor2013is slightlyhigher(527)thanthesametimein2012(437).Sofarin2013,newapartmentunitsand duplexinghassignificantlyincreasedfrom2012whereassingledetacheddwellingscontinueto verages. trenddownwardsandbelowthe5,10and20yeara 5.0IntensificationLevel PlacestoGrowrequiresthataminimumof40%ofallnewresidentialdevelopmentoccurwithin aŉś┼╜◘■BuiltUpAreabytheyear2015.AccordingtotheRegionofíĂĊśŉ▄◘◘newOfficial Plan,thedrafttargetfortheurbanmunicipalities,includingKitchener,is45%.Thiscouldbea challengeforsomemunicipalitiesthatstillhaveasignificantamountofDesignatedGreenfield Arealandsavailableandlimitedintensificationopportunities.Kitchenerhowever,iswell positionedtoachievethistarget.Themostrecentmeasuresofnewresidentialunitsbytypein theBuiltUpArea(BUA)andDesignatedGreenfieldArea(DGA)areindicatedinFigure4below. Figure4:IntensificationandDesignatedGreenfieldAreaDevelopmentLevels (June16/12June15/13) DesignatedGreenfieldBuiltUpAreaBuilding DwellingTypeAreaBuildingPermitsPermitsTotal SingleDetached25957316 SemiDetached03333 Duplex92736 StreetTownhouses991100 ClusterTownhouses0140140 MultipleDwellings86356442 Total4536141,067 PercentofTotal42%58%100% BetweenJune16,2012andJune15,2013,theintensificationlevelinKitchenerincreasedfrom 25%inthelastreportingyearto58%withintheBuiltUpArea.Theintensificationlevelof58% reflectedthehighernumberofclustertownhousesandmultipleresidentialdwellingprojects. 4 1 - 8 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 Figure5illustratesthehistoricintensificationlevels,aspertheProvincialBuiltBoundaryLine. Figure5:IntensificationLevel(2001topresent) TheCityexpectstosee¤ℓ♫╜╫śand¤ŕ╜♫yearswithrespecttotheBuiltUpAreaintensification levelasthetimingof23apartmentdevelopmentscanimpactthereportedrateinagivenyear foramunicipalityofourscale.Thisiswhyitisimportanttoexaminetheintensificationlevelat 5and10yearaverages.ThiswillprovideabetterunderstandingofwhethertheCityisontrack toachievinganyrequiredintensificationlevel.The5yearaverageIntensificationLevel(2008 2013)isnowat45%withthe10yearaverage(20032013)slightlylowerat43%. Theintensificationlevelmayremainrelativelyhighinthenextyearortwoasmore redevelopmentoccursintheUrbanGrowthCentre(Downtown),suchastheMomentumOne Victoriaproject,alongwiththeconstructionofothermultiple dwellingsintheapprovalstages.Itisexpectedthatinthenext fewyearstherecouldbeanincreaseinnewsubdivision developmentintheDesignatedGreenfieldAreaasthehigher volumeofdraftapprovedandregisteredunitsmovetowards constructionandareasrequiringmajorservicingbecome available.Asaresult,itmaybechallengingtomaintainahigh intensificationrateeveryyear. MomentumOneVictoriaConcept 5 1 - 9 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 6.0IntensificationAreasExistingMeasuresandAdditionalCapacityforNewGrowth Thissectionquantifiestheexistingnumberofdwellingunits,residents,jobsanddensity measureforthecurrentlyidentifiedintensificationareasandalsoexploresthepotentialfor accommodatingnewdevelopmentwithineachofthoseareasbasedontheexistingzoningonly. Figure6:ExistingMeasuresforCurrentIntensificationAreas NonResidential FloorSpaceResidents 2) IntensificationAreaUnitsResidents(m*Jobs**+Jobs/ha UrbanGrowthCentre***2,2294,012899,97612,547155 PrimaryNode1,7923,227203,5043,51576 MixedUseNodes3,7876,811277,0245,99340 MixedUseCorridors1,7603,390290,3986,35289 NeighbourhoodMixedUse Centres15840710,4861,82851 ComprehensiveDevelopment Areas00125,3413519 SubtotalofIntensification Areas9,72617,8471,806,72930,586 SiteSpecificIntensification Opportunities1,0882,142825,4427,56953 GrandTotal10,81419,9892,632,17138,155 *GiventhechallengeswithMunicipalPropertyAssessmentCorporation(MPAC)data,thenon residentialbuildingfloorspacedataisanestimatedvaluethatiscurrentlybeingrefined. **Somelocationsmaybemissingjobdata.Thedatabaseiscurrentlybeingconfirmedwith newinformationfromtheRegion. ***UGCdataisbasedonestimatesfromseveraldatasources.UGCjobsarebasedonavailable estimatesprovidedbyEconomicDevelopmentstaff. TheestimateddensityoftheUrbanGrowthCentre(UGC)increasedfrom154RJs/hain2012to 155RJs/hain2013.Asredevelopmentcontinuestooccurinthe/╜ĊŦintensificationareas,the residentialandemploymentdensitiescontinuetograduallyriseasexpected. 6 1 - 10 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 CapacityforNewGrowth Asmentionedpreviously,thereareadditionalintensificationprojectscurrentlyhappeningor proposedintheUGC,suchasthecontinuedredevelopmentoftheBreithauptBlock(pictured lowerleft)andtheArrowLoftscondominiumproject(picturedlowermiddle),aswellastheCity Centrecondominiumdevelopment(picturedlowerright).Thefuturecontinuestobebright withthelanduseapprovalsinplacefortheKing/VictoriaMultiModal(andproposedmixeduse) TransitHub.Inthefuture,thesewillresultinadditionalresidentialunitsandemployment opportunitieswithintheUGC.Thesetypesofprojectsnotonlyhelpachievetheprovincial numericaltargetbut,perhapsmoreimportantly,theycontributepositivelytothesocial, environmental,economicandculturalwellbeingofthecommunity.Giventhenumberof projectsunderdevelopmentandtheadditionalopportunities,thereiscapacityandpotentialto achieveadensitywithintheUGCthatishigherthantheminimumrequirementof200residents andjobsperhectareby2031. Figure7:AdditionalCapacityMeasuresforCurrentIntensificationAreas 50%Scenario Itisassumedthattheintensificationopportunitiesmaybeaccommodatedonaverageto50% oftheirmaximumzonedcapacityduringthenextplanninghorizon NonResidentialResidents IntensificationAreasUnitsResidentsJobs 2 FloorSpace(m)+Jobs/ha UrbanGrowthCentre1,9093,394208,8989,446120 PrimaryNode304655*1,11418 MixedUseNodes4,4058,813274,3347,41561 MixedUseCorridors6,99312,693419,47613,285184 NeighbourhoodMixedUse 6812322,2002347 Centres Comprehensive 9582,0963,84027388 DevelopmentAreas SubtotalofIntensification 14,63727,774928,74831,767 Areas SiteSpecificIntensification 2,8054,982254,6925,31645 Opportunities GrandTotal17,44232,7561,183,44037,083 *Thedatabaseiscurrentlybeingrefined 7 1 - 11 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 7.0EstimatedLandSupply(KitchenerMeasures) TheestimatedlandsupplyforKitchenerisatotalofthepotentialcapacitywithintheBuiltUp AreaandtheDesignatedGreenfieldArea.Asdevelopmentmovesfromrawlandthroughthe developmentapprovalsstageandeventuallytoconstruction,thelandsupplyestimatesbecome moreaccurate. 7.1PotentialBuiltUpArea(BUA)Supply TheintensificationinventoryincludeslandswithintheBuiltBoundaryLine.Itisasummaryof thepotentialcapacitywithinintensificationareas(Figure7),sitespecificintensification opportunities(SSIOssuchasbrownfieldorotherisolatedunderutilizedparcels),aminor intensificationfactorwithinexistingcommunitiesandthepotentialsupplyfromregistered,draft approvedorfuturesubdivisionsthatarewithinintheBUA. Figure8:EstimatedBuiltupAreaSupply(intensificationlandsinsidetheBuiltBoundary) NonRes.Space IntensificationAreaUnitsResidentsJobs (m²)* UrbanGrowthCentre 1,9093,394208,8989,446 PrimaryNode 304655*1,114 MixedUseNodes** 4,4058,813274,3347,415 MixedUseCorridors 6,99312,693419,47613,285 NeighbourhoodMixedUseCentres 6812322,200234 ComprehensiveDevelopmentAreas 9582,0963,840273 SubtotalofIntensificationAreas14,63727,774928,74831,767 SiteSpecificIntensification 2,8054,982254,6925,316 Opportunities TotalofCurrentIntensificationAreas17,44232,7561,183,44037,083 CommunityInteriors9002,274012 VacantLandInventory(Registered+)9031,916241,0053,464 DraftApproved10931600 InCirculation4311400 OtherDesignated0000 Subtotal1,9554,620241,0053,476 TotalPotentialSupply(Current 19,39737,3761,424,44540,559 Zoning) *GiventhechallengeswithMunicipalPropertyAssessmentCorporation(MPAC)data,thenon residentialbuildingfloorspacedataisanestimatedvaluethatiscurrentlybeingrefined. **DoesnotincludeLackner/FairwayMixedUseNodewhichisintheDesignatedGreenfield Area. 8 1 - 12 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 7.2PotentialDesignatedGreenfieldAreaSupply ThepotentialDesignatedGreenfieldAreainventoryincludesalllandsoutsidetheBuiltBoundary Linethataredesignatedfordevelopmentinthe/╜ĊŦOfficialPlan.Italsoincludeslandsthatare notdesignatedintheOfficialPlanbutarepartofthe/╜ĊŦUrbanAreaaccordingtothewś┼╜◘■ OfficialPoliciesPlan,sometimesreferredtoastheROPPAmendmentNo.16lands.Recent studiescompletedfortheselandsprovidenewpopulationandemploymentestimates.The estimateswillbecomemorerefinedaslandparcelswithinthisareamovethroughthe developmentapprovalprocess.Thedwellingunitnumbersareprimarilybasedonmaximums. Figure9:EstimatedDesignatedGreenfieldAreaSupply(landsoutsidetheBuiltBoundary) NonRes. GreenfieldLocationUnitsResidentsJobs Space(m²) VacantLandInventory 2,1745,85581,1351,336 (Registered+others) IntensificationAreas 8411,5158,097187 (Greenfield)* SiteSpecific IntensificationAreas0044773383 (Greenfield) DraftApproved7,54718,52015,9411,069 InCirculation4,92212,22500 OtherDesignated 10,93526,082242,4437,077 Lands** Subtotal26,41964,197392,38810,052 Undesignated(ROPP16 12163,03900 remainder)*** Total27,63567,236392,38810,052 *IncludesLackner/FairwayMixedUseNode(outsideBuiltBoundaryLine)@50%scenario **Using55residents+jobs/hectareassumption.LandsarenetProvincialconstraintsonly.No HiddenValley.IncludesRosenberglandswithoutadevelopmentapplication,basedondensities intheRosenbergSecondaryPlan. PriortotheapprovaloftheRosenbergSecondaryPlan,plansubmissionsandsupplyestimates withintheareawerereportedasaseparatelineitem.NowthattheSecondaryPlanisapproved andthelandsnowhavelandsusedesignations,theyarebeingreportedinasimilarfashionto otherlandsinthecity.Thetotalnumberofestimatedunitswithinregisteredplansof subdivision(VacantLandInventory)isapproximately2,200fewerunitsthanreportedlastyear. Theadjustmentinreporting,inpartwithrevisedsubdivisionapplicationsbeingsubmitted withinRosenberg,hascausedthenumberofunitsthatare¤5ŉĂźĊ!♫♫ŉ◘ōśŕor¤L■/╜ŉľĵ▄ĂĊ╜◘■ toincrease.Also,inthelastyear,somedevelopmentapplicationswererevisedtopropose moredwellingunitsthaninitiallyappliedforwhichcontributestoanincreaseinthe¤5ŉĂźĊ !♫♫ŉ◘ōśŕand¤L■/╜ŉľĵ▄ĂĊ╜◘■numbers.PropertieswithintheRosenbergSecondaryPlan boundarythatarenotwithinacurrentdevelopmentapplicationhavebeenaddedtothe¤hĊ╙śŉ Designated[Ă■ŕℓline.Assuch,thenumberofestimatedunitsreportedin¤hĊ╙śŉDesignated 9 1 - 13 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 [Ă■ŕℓhasincreasedsincelastyear.Thelandswithinthe¤Ü■ŕśℓ╜┼■ĂĊśŕ(ROPP16ŉś▓Ă╜■ŕśŉ areaessentiallyreflectonemajorparceloflandthatiscurrentlybeingconsideredthroughthe OMB. Overall,thetotalestimateddesignatedgreenfieldunitsupplyhasincreased.Itisanticipated thatthissupplywilldecreaseincomingyearsasdevelopmentapplicationsfortheDGAcontinue throughthedevelopmentprocess. 7.3EstimatedTotalSupply ThepotentialsupplyofboththeBuiltupAreaandDesignatedGreenfieldAreainventoriescan becombinedtoprovideatotalestimatedinventoryforresidentialandemploymentlandin Kitchener. Figure10:EstimatedTotalSupply:IntensificationandDesignatedGreenfieldArea NonRes.Space LocationUnitsResidentsJobs (m²)* BuiltupArea(BUA)19,39737,3761,424,44540,559 DesignatedGreenfieldArea 26,41964,197392,38810,052 (DGA) Total45,816101,5731,816,83350,611 Undesignated(ROPP#16 12163,03900 remainder) TotalincludingROPP#16lands47,032104,6121,816,83350,611 *GiventhechallengeswithMunicipalPropertyAssessmentCorporation(MPAC)data,thenon residentialbuildingfloorspacedataisanestimatedvaluethatiscurrentlybeingrefined. TheestimatedtotalsupplyofdwellingunitsandresidentshasdecreasedintheBuiltUpArea andincreasedinDesignatedGreenfieldAreafromJune2012.Thetotalsupplyofdwellingunits isexpectedtoeventuallydecreaseasdevelopmentcontinuestooccurandthecitymoves towardsa¤▓ĂĊĵŉśℓĊĂĊś⁭ 10 1 - 14 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 8.0CurrentCapacityforGrowth Thissectioncomparesthecurrentpopulationcapacitywiththe2029populationallocation providedbytheRegionofWaterloo. Figure11:PopulationProjectionsvs.EstimatedCapacity *Estimatedmidyear2013Population233,830 NewPopulationCapacityEstimate(fromFigure10)104,612 Total338,442 **2029PopulationAllocation(newRegionOfficialPlan)313,500 Difference24,942 *Unofficialinterimpopulationestimateasofmidyear2013,RegionalMunicipalityofWaterloo **2031PopulationAllocationhasyettobedeterminedbytheRegionalMunicipalityof Waterloo The2013midyearpopulationestimatedbytheRegionisnow233,830;approximately1,500 morepeoplethanreportedmidyear2012. Figure10showsthatthelandswithintheCityofKitchenerhaveacurrentestimatedcapacityfor accommodatingapproximately25,000moreresidentsthanthecurrentpopulationallocation gion.ThenewRegionOfficialPlanalsoincludesanemploymentallocationof fromtheRe approximately31,000additionaljobs.Figure9indicatesthatKitchenershouldhavethecapacity toaccommodatetheadditionalemploymentwithinoururbanarea(currentcapacityof approximately51,000jobs).ThepopulationandemploymentallocationsfromtheRegionfor KitchenermaybesubjecttochangependingfutureprocessessuchastheongoingOntario MunicipalBoardhearing/DivisionCourtappealontheRegionalOfficialPlan.Additionalcapacity mayberequiredinthefutureshouldpopulationandemploymentallocationsfromtheRegion change. 9.0PlacestoGrowImplementation TheCityofKitchenerispresentlyundertakingareviewofitsOfficialPlan.ThenewOfficialPlan willincludepoliciesthatwillfurtheraidintheimplementationofPlacestoGrow.TheKGMS annualmonitoringreportwillcontinuetomonitornewdevelopmentandtrackY╜Ċľ╙ś■śŉ achievementsofPlacestoGrowtargets. recasts GrowthFo InresponsetotheProvincialgrowthforecasts(andRegionalallocationthereof),theCity developedbackgroundinformationinsupportoftheKGMSthatanalysesthegrowthcapacityof variousareasoftheCity.AsindicatedinSection8.0,Kitchenerstillhasthecapacityto accommodatetheallocatedgrowthintoappropriateareas. UrbanGrowthCentre PlacestoGrowrequiresthatourUrbanGrowthCentrebeplannedtoachieveaminimumof200 personsandjobsperhectareby2031.Thepresentdensityis155RJs/ha.Withadditional intensificationprojectscurrentlyhappeningorproposedintheUGC,anopportunityexiststo 11 1 - 15 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 exceedtheprovincialtargetof200RJs/ha.Assuch,ahigherminimumdensitytargetcouldbe considered. Intensification PlacestoGrowrequiresthatasignificantportionofresidentialdevelopmentbedirectedtothe BuiltUpAreaby2015.Y╜Ċľ╙ś■śŉdrafttargetaccordingtothenewRegionOfficialPlanis45%. Toachieveandmonitorthistarget,theCityhasadynamicsystemthattracksbuildingpermit issuancefornewresidentialunitsinsideandoutsidetheBuiltBoundaryLine.The5yearaverage IntensificationLevel(20082013)isnowat45%withthe10yearaverage(20032013)slightly lowerat43%. DesignatedGreenfieldAreaDensities PlacestoGrowmandatesthatfuturedevelopmentwithintheDesignatedGreenfieldArea shouldachievespecific,transitsupportivedensitytargets.Y╜Ċľ╙ś■śŉdrafttarget,accordingto thenewRegionOfficialPlan,is55residentsandjobsperhectareinresidentialsubdivisions. Kitcheneriswellpositionedtomeetthistarget.Plansofsubdivisionthatwereapprovedbefore wandhavebeenorarebeingconstructedareexceeding50RJs/haonaverage. PlacestoGro Recentlyapprovedplansofsubdivisionarealsomeetingorexceedingthedrafttarget55 residentsandjobsperhectare.Forexample,theGrandRiverFlatsSubdivision(30T10202) has a subdivisiondensityofapproximately59residentsandjobsperhectare.TheKitchenerGrowth ManagementPlan(KGMP)providesatoolforidentifyingandtrackingDesignatedGreenfield Areasubdivisiondensity. PlanningPrinciples Planningacityisnotjustaboutachievingcertainnumericaltargets.ThemajorityofPlacesto Growincludespolicydirectiontoachievehealthyandcompletecommunities.Kitchenerhaslong beenaleaderinpromotingwalkable,transitsupportivedevelopment.Y╜Ċľ╙ś■śŉeffortsto continuetorevitalizetheUrbanGrowthCentre,cleanupbrownfieldsitesandachievemixeduse developmentsthatarepedestrianorientedaresignificant.Wearefurtherstrivingtoenhance thelinkagesbetweenlanduseplanningandothercommunityconsiderationssuchas transportationoptions,communityinfrastructure,socialdynamics,economicsand environmentalconservation.Ultimately,thegoalistohelpachieveahigherqualityoflifeina healthyandcompletecommunity. 10.0RegionalGrowthManagementStrategyImplementation ThegoalsoutlinedintheRegionalGrowthManagementStrategy(RGMS),arelargelyreflectedin thegoalsoftheKGMS.ManyoftheKGMSactionitemsdescribedinSection11.0belowsupport theimplementationoftheRGMSaswell.AdditionalinitiativesthatsupporttheRGMSinclude thenewFiveBestBetsforAirQuality,KitchenerEconomicDevelopmentStrategy(KEDS)andthe OfficialPlanReview. 12 1 - 16 KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategy 2013AnnualMonitoringReport CSD13076 11.0KitchenerGrowthManagementStrategyImplementation TheKGMSencompassessixgoalsthatfacilitatemanaginggrowthanddevelopmentwithinthe CityofKitchener.ThesegoalssupporttheRGMSandhavebeenadaptedtotheCityofKitchener context.Asignificantportionoftheobjectives,initiativesandrecommendationsoftheKGMS havebeencompletedinpreviousyearsandthestatusofremainingitemsarelistedbelow. ActionItemStatus Goal1Enhanceourvaluednaturalandculturalheritageresources UpdatedUrbanDesignManual: 32013/2014Project. ¤Dŉśś■ CulturalHeritageLandscapesCHLInventoryTermsofReferenceunderway. 6 (CHL)2013/2014Project. Goal5Strengthencommunities PrepareaNeighbourhood 4PartofCSDDepartmentalPlantostartlate2013. Strategy Goal6Managechangeinaneffectiveandcoordinatedmanner Deferred.RegionalOfficialPlanappealissue 3Southwest underway. 5CommunicationsPlan:PhaseIIIReferredtootherinitiatives. 12.0KitchenerGrowthManagementPlan TheKitchenerGrowthManagementPlan(KGMP)isanevolutionoftheformerStagingof DevelopmentprogramandisusedasatooltoassistwiththeimplementationoftheKGMS.The KGMPestablishesprioritylevelsfordevelopmentandprojectsforeachgrowthareawithinthe nginitiativesthat City.Itincludestheprioritizationandallocationofresourcestowardscompleti arerequiredtomovelandsfromthedraftapprovalstagetoregistration,constructionand developingcompletecommunities.The20132015+KGMPwillbeconsideredbyCityCouncilin thefallof2013. 13 1 - 17