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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCSD-11-133 - Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring ReptStaff Re apt KITCHEI~'ER Communr'ty SeruicPS Department www.kitchenertu REPORT TO: Planning and Strategic Initiatives Committee DATE OF MEETING: October 17, 2011 SUBMITTED BY: Alain Pinard, Director of Planning PREPARED BY: Alexandra Pires, Planning Technician (519 741-3400 ext. 3177) WARD(S) INVOLVED: All wards DATE OF REPORT: October 12, 2011 REPORT NO.: CSD-11-133 SUBJECT: KITCHENER GROWTH MANAGEMENT STRATEGY - 2011 ANNUAL MONITORING REPORT RECOMMENDATION: A. That Report CSD-11-133, Kitchener Growth Management Strategy - 2011 Annual Monitoring Report be received for information; and B. That Report CSD-11-133 be submitted to the Regional Municipality of Waterloo in fulfilment of Clause 22.1 of the Administrative Agreement between the City of Kitchener and the Regional Municipality of Waterloo regarding delegated authority. BACKGROUND: In 2009, Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS). The KGMS introduces an ongoing growth management program to manage growth-related change in an effective and co-ordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of KGMS Goal 6 is to prepare an Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report to track the supply of development opportunities and the achievement of intensification and density targets. The first Monitoring Report was prepared in 2010. This year's Annual Monitoring Report coincides with the biannual Kitchener Growth Management Plan. REPORT: Growth management is a community priority. In response to numerous directions, including Compass Kitchener and the "Who-are-you-Kitchener" surveys, Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) in support of the City's Strategic Plan. Kitchener is expected to accommodate a relatively significant amount of residential and employment growth over the next twenty years. We are also mandated by the Province to achieve certain numerical targets and other planning objectives. The KGMS provides along-term framework for planning where and how future residential and employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener. To ensure that growth contributes positively to our quality of life, the KGMS provides a framework for co-ordination of the provision of infrastructure and services with new development. The goals and actions support the Province's Growth Plan and the Regional Growth Management Strategy. The KGMS introduced 2-1 Staff Re apt p KITCHEI~T~,R Communr'ty Seruices Depar~menf www.kitchenertu an ongoing growth management program that includes preparing an Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report. The attached report monitors growth within the built-up (intensification areas) and designated Greenfield area of the City of Kitchener over the past year (from June 2010 to June 2011), and provides a summary of observations and changes that may have occurred during this time period compared to past information. The report also provides an analysis of how this information relates to the Province's Places to Grow initiatives and the Region's Growth Management Strategy. Highlights: The number of residents and jobs per hectare (RJs/ha) in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown) is increasing since last year's estimate of 151 RJs/ha to approximately 160 RJs/ha now. This is an excellent step towards achieving the provincially-mandated target of 200 RJs/ha by 2031. Another significant achievement is that the amount of residential development occurring in the Built-up Area ("intensification") is 56%. This now brings the 5 year average to 41% which is very close to the target that may be established for urban municipalities within this region. The City and other partners have undertaken significant efforts over the past decade to support intensification and this is now contributing to positive results. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS: No new or additional capital budget requests are requested. COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT: The 2011 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report will be a public document and will be posted on the City's website. Some of the information was presented to the September meeting of the Waterloo Region Homebuilders Liaison Committee. CONCLUSION: The information outlined in the attached report implements one of the action items of Goal 6 of the KGMS, which is to establish an ongoing growth management program by preparing an annual monitoring report to be received for information by Kitchener City Council. REVIEWED BY: Brandon Sloan, Manager, Long Range and Policy Planning ACKNOWLEDGED BY: Jeff Willmer, Deputy CAO Community Services Department Attachment: 2011 KGMS Annual Monitoring Report 2- 2 2-3 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 1.0 Executive Summary Growth management is a community priority. In response to numerous directions, including Compass Kitchener and the "Who-are-you-Kitchener" surveys, Kitchener City Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) in support of the City's Strategic Plan. Kitchener is expected to accommodate a relatively significant amount of residential and employment growth over the next twenty years. We are also mandated by the Province to achieve certain numerical targets and other planning objectives. Although other municipalities have established growth management programs, Kitchener is on the leading edge with respect to the ability to track and monitor specific growth data in a dynamic manner. As part of Kitchener's ongoing growth management program the intent is to continually refine the data, improve the dynamic capabilities and provide information to help support numerous corporate studies and infrastructure projects. A `snapshot' of the data is contained within this KGMS - 2011 Annual Monitoring Report. The results of the updated growth management data are encouraging. The number of residents and jobs per hectare (RJs/ha) in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown) is gradually increasing from approximately 151 RJs/ha last year to approximately 160 RJs/ha. This is an excellent step towards achieving the provincially-mandated target of 200 RJs/ha by 2031. Another significant achievement is that the amount of residential development occurring in the Built-up Area is 56%. This now brings the 5 year average to 41% which is very close to the target for urban municipalities within this region. The City and other partners have undertaken significant efforts over the past decade to support intensification which are now contributing to positive results. 2.0 Introduction In 2009, Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS). The KGMS provides a framework for planning where and how future residential and employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener while positively contributing to our quality of life. The goals and actions outlined in the KGMS support the provincial 1 2-4 Downtown -King Street Adaptive Reuse -Lang Tannery Warehouse District Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 Places to Grow Growth Plan for the Greater Horseshoe (Places to Grow) and the Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS). The KGMS introduced an ongoing growth management program to manage growth- related change in an effective and coordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of KGMS Goal 6 is to prepare an Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report to track the supply of development opportunities and the achievement of intensification and density targets. In fulfillment of this action item, the first Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report has been completed. The monitoring report is also an opportunity to provide an update on the progress of implementing the KGMS action items along with provincial and regional growth plans. This monitoring report primarily updates the data from the KGMS Background Study: Current Baseline Report (Parts 6-9). It presents a summary of recent residential development rates and updates the potential capacity to accommodate growth both within the Built-up Area (intensification areas) and in the Designated Greenfield Area. The original data from the KGMS Background Study were as of June 16, 2008 (with some of the existing residential data at the time coming from the 2006 Census). This monitoring report updates the data to approximately June 16, 2011. This section provides a summary of the number and status of plans of subdivision, plans of condominium, part-lot control applications, consent applications and the number and type of units created by approvals for 2010: # of Applications Single/Semi/Towns Multiples Subdivisions Received 2 594 493 Draft Approvals 3 488 10 Registered Plans 11 961 34 Condominium Received 19 369 718 Draft Approvals 18 395 146 Registered Plans 15 105 334 Part Lot Control 32 379 0 Consents 47 30 0 2 2-5 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 4.0 Residential Development Rates This section identifies the past development rates in the City of Kitchener regarding construction of new residential units by dwelling type. Figure 1: Residential Development Rates New Residential Dwelling Units Created Through Building Permit* Dwelling Type 2009 2010 5-year Average (2006-10) 10-year Average (2001-10) 20-year Average (1991-2010) Single Detached 469 577 632 787 630 Semi-Detached 52 75 95 79 86 Du lex 25 37 26 24 17 Townhouses 318 315 320 345 235 Multiple Dwellings** 305 255 338 331 242 Total New Units 1169 1259 1411 1566 1210 Gross new units (conversion/additions included, demolitions not subtracted) ~~ Includes additions. Does not include cluster townhouses. There were 90 additional building permits issued for new residential dwelling units in 2010 compared to 2009. There was a noticeable increase in the number of building permits issued for single detached and semi-detached dwellings due to the types of lots in recent subdivision registrations. So far in 2011, the year-to-date number of new units is already surpassing the total 2010 amount. Although residential development rates over the past two years are lower than the previous high as reflected in the 5- and 10-year average rates in the figure above, the current rate is actually closer to the 20-year average and is getting closer to a more sustainable pace. 5.0 Intensification Level The Province's Places to Grow requires that a minimum of 40% of all new residential development occur within a region's Built-up Area by the year 2015. According to the Region of Waterloo's new Official Plan, the target for the urban municipalities including Kitchener is 45%. This could be a challenge for some municipalities that still have a significant amount of greenfield lands available and limited intensification opportunities. Kitchener; however, is well positioned to achieve this target. The historic intensification levels, as per the provincial Built Boundary Line methodology, are relatively high and are indicated in Figure 2 below. 3 2-6 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 Figure 2: Intensification Level (2001 to present) Intensification Levels - 2001 to Present Built Boundary Line Method 70 d ~ 60 J ~ 50 0 40 ~ =' 30 N 20 ~ 10 ~ 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year The 5-year average Intensification Level (2007-2011) is now at 41 % with the 10-year average slightly higher at 44%. The most recent measures of new residential units by type in the Built-up Area (BUA) and Designated Greenfield Area (DGA) are indicated in Figure 3 below. Figure 3: Intensification and Greenfield Development Levels (June 16/10 -June 15/111 Dwelling Type Greenfield Area Building Permits Built-up Area Building Permits Total Single Detached 505 63 568 Semi-Detached 30 6 36 Du lex 6 11 17 Street Townhouses 97 16 113 Cluster Townhouses 4 108 112 Multiple Dwellings 105 730 835 Tota I 747 934 1681 Percent of Total 44% 56% 100% Between June 15, 2010 and June 16, 2011 the intensification level in Kitchener has increased to 56% within the Built-up Area. The construction of new multiple dwelling units (for example, the apartment buildings on Fallowfield Drive) contributes to this fairly high rate. The intensification level may remain relatively high in the next few years as more redevelopments occurs in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown), such as the City Centre project, along with the construction of other multiple dwellings and remaining subdivision lots that are located inside the Built-up Area. There will be additional pressure in the Designated Greenfield Area as new subdivisions become ready for development. It may be challenging to maintain a high intensification rate until such time as most of the existing greenfield lands are exhausted. 4 2 ~ 7 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 6.0 Intensification Areas -Existing Measures and Capacity for New Growth This section quantifies the existing number of dwelling units, residents, jobs and density measure for the currently identified intensification areas and also explores the potential for accommodating new development within each of those areas based on the existing zoning only. Given the challenges with Municipal Property Assessment Corporation (MPAC) data regarding accuracy of building floor space, this information is not contained within the tables of this monitoring report. Figure 4: Existing Measures and Additional Capacity for Current Intensification Areas The non-residential building floor space data is currently being refined. ~~ UGC jobs reported as per Economic Development Downtown Database. Intensification Area Units Residents Non-Residential Floor Space (m2)* Jobs** Existin Measures 8981 14060 30431 Additional Capacity 12147 24987 27832 With the introduction of new jobs created within the Urban Growth Centre (e.g. Google and other companies occupying space at the Lang Tannery) the estimated density of the UGC is steadily increasing from last years 151 RJs/ha to approximately 160 RJs/ha (which includes 2176 dwelling units, 4126 residents and about 12952 jobs). There are additional intensification projects currently happening or proposed in the UGC such as the Breithaupt Block, Arrow Lofts and the City Centre development. These types of projects not only help achieve the provincial numerical target but, perhaps more importantly, they contribute positively to the social, environmental, economic and cultural well-being of the community. Capacity for New Growth The existing residential and employment capacity within the intensification areas is slightly different than last years report. In a number of instances the data have been modified and in others new zoning (such as the mixed use corridors) is now in place which affects the capacity for new growth. 5 2 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 7.0 Estimated Land Supply (Kitchener Measures) The estimated land supply for Kitchener is a total of the potential capacity within the Built-up Area and the Designated Greenfield Area. As development moves from raw land through the development approvals stage and eventually to construction, the land supply estimate items become more accurate. 7.1 Potential Built-Up Area (BUA) Supply The intensification inventory includes lands within the Built Boundary Line. It is a summary of the potential capacity within intensification areas (Figure 5), site specific intensification opportunities (SSIOs such as brownfield or other isolated underutilized parcels), a minor intensification factor within existing neighbourhoods and the potential supply from registered, draft approved or future subdivisions that were captured in the BUA. Figure 6: Estimated Built-up Area Supply (intensification lands inside the Built Boundary) Intensification Area Units Residents Non-Res. Space (m2)* Jobs Subtotal of Intensification Areas 12147 24987 27832 Site Specific Intensification Opportunities 2223 4017 545396 5726 Total of Current Intensification Areas 14370 29004 * 33558 Community Interiors 1000 2460 0 66 Vacant Land Inventory (Registered + others) 1030 2833 245066 3564 Draft A roved 180 516 0 14 In Circulation 0 0 0 0 Other Designated*** 27 75 0 2 Subtotal 2227 5869 3646 Total Potential Supply (Current Zoning) 16597 34873 * 37204 The non-residential building floor space data is currently being refined. ~~ Does not include Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node which is in the Designated Greenfield Area. ~"~ Using 55 residents+jobs/ha scenario. 7.2 Potential Designated Greenfield Area Supply The potential Greenfield inventory includes all lands outside the Built Boundary Line that are designated for development in the City's Official Plan. It also includes lands that are not designated in the Official Plan but are part of the City's Urban Area according to the Region's Official Policies Plan, sometimes referred to as the ROPP Amendment No. 16 lands. Recent studies completed for these lands provide new population and employment estimates that are relatively high from greenfield areas. The estimates will become more refined as land parcels within this area move through the development approval process. 6 2-9 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 Figure 7: Estimated Maximum Total Supply -Greenfield (lands outside the Built Boundary) Greenfield Location Units Residents Non-Res. Space (m2) Jobs Vacant Land Inventory Re istered + others 4061 9957 98425 1620 Intensification Areas (Greenfield) * 841 1515 8097 187 Site Specific Intensification Areas Greenfield 0 0 50906 393 Draft Approved 5129 12059 162100 1305 In Circulation 1927 7658 0 207 Other Designated Lands** 2067 5287 43800 1150 Subtotal 14025 36476 363328 4862 1) Undesignated (ROPP 16 remainder)*** 2) Rosenberg Secondary Plan 808 10650 1601 25200 0 176500 43 5350 Total 25483 63277 539828 10255 ~lncludes Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node (outside Built Boundary Line) @ 50% scenario ~~ Using 55 residents+jobs/hectare assumption. Lands are net Provincial constraints only. No Hidden Valley. ~~~ Based on proponent's plan submission. Land use has not been finalized -estimates subject to change. The total number of estimated dwelling units in the portion of the Designated Greenfield Area that is currently designated in the City's Official Plan is about 1500 units lower than last year. This is due to the issuance of building permits for those lots that area progressing to construction. 7.3 Estimated Total Supply The potential supply of both intensification and Greenfield inventories can be combined to provide a total estimated inventory of potential new units and residents for Kitchener. Figure 8: Estimated Total Supply: Intensification and Greenfield Location Units Residents Non-Res. Space (m2)* Jobs Built-up Area (BUA) 16597 34873 37204 Designated Greenfield Area (DGA) 14025 36476 363328 4862 Total 30622 71349 * 42066 Undesignated (ROPP #16 remainder) 808 1601 0 43 Rosenberg Secondary Plan 10650 25200 176500 5350 Total including ROPP #16 lands and Rosenberg Secondary Plan 42080 98150 * 47459 The non-residential floor space data is currently being refined. The estimated total supply of dwelling units and residents has decreased since June 2008 which is expected as growth continues to occur. 7 2-10 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 8.0 Current Capacity for Growth This section compares the current population capacity compared to the 2029 planning horizon population allocation. Figure 9: Population Projections vs. Estimated Capacity *Estimated mid- ear 2011 Po ulation 231,000 New Po ulation Ca acit 98,275 Total 329,275 2029 Population Allocation (new Region Official Plan) 313,500 Difference +15,775 Unofficial interim population estimate as of mid-year 2011. Regional Municipality of Waterloo The table above shows that the lands within the City of Kitchener have a current capacity for accommodating approximately 16,000 more residents than the population allocation for the 2029 planning horizon. The new Region Official Plan also includes an employment allocation of approximately 31,000 additional jobs. Figure 8 indicates that Kitchener should have the capacity to accommodate the additional employment on within our urban area. 9.0 Places to Grow Implementation The City of Kitchener is presently undertaking a review of its Official Plan. The new Official Plan will include policies that will further aid in the implementation of Places to Grow. The KGMS annual monitoring report will also provide a mechanism for monitoring new development and tracking Kitchener's achievements of provincial requirements. Growth Forecasts Regional allocations of population and employment forecast that Kitchener may grow by approximately 100,000 persons and 30,000 jobs from 2006 to 2031. In response, the City developed background information in support of the KGMS that analyses the growth capacity of various areas of the City. As indicated in Section 8.0, Kitchener still has the capacity to accommodate the allocated growth into appropriate areas. Urban Growth Centre The Province's Places to Grow requires that our Urban Growth Centre be planned to achieve a minimum of 200 persons and jobs per hectare by 2031. The present density is 160 RJs/ha. Kitchener is well on its way to achieving the provincial target. Intensification The Province's Places to Grow requires that a significant portion of residential development be directed to the BUA by 2015. Kitchener's target t .~. Rendering of Arrow Lofts on Benton Street 8 2-11 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 according to the new Region Official Plan is 45%. To achieve and monitor this target on a daily basis, the City has a dynamic system that tracks building permit issuance for new residential units inside and outside the Built Boundary Line. The 5-year intensification level average is 41 % and for the past year, Kitchener has had a 56% intensification level. As a result, Kitchener appears to be able to achieve this target. Greenfield Densities Places to Grow mandates that future development within the DGA should achieve specific, transit-supportive density targets. For our municipality, the target according to the new Region Official Plan is 55 residents and jobs per hectare in residential subdivisions. Kitchener is well positioned to meet this target. Plans of subdivision that were already approved before Places to Grow and that are being recently constructed were already exceeding 50 RJs/ha on average. Numerous plans that have received recent approvals in Kitchener meet or exceed the tentative target of 55 RJs/ha and the new Rosenberg Secondary Plan has planned land uses that could exceed this target. Additional work is underway as part of the new Official Plan to further refine what this means for specific areas in Kitchener. Also, the Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) provides a tool that for identifying and tracking greenfield subdivision density. Planning Principles Planning a city is not just about achieving certain numerical targets. The majority of Places to Grow includes policy direction to achieve healthy and complete communities. Kitchener has long been a leader in promoting walkable, transit-supportive development. Kitchener's efforts to continue to revitalize the Urban Growth Centre, clean up brownfield sites and achieve mixed use developments that are pedestrian-oriented are significant. We are further striving to enhance the linkages between land use planning and other community considerations such as transportation options, community infrastructure, social dynamics, economics and environmental conservation. Ultimately, the goal is to help achieve a higher quality of life in a healthy and complete community. 10.0 Regional Growth Management Strategy Implementation The goals outlined in the Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS), are largely reflected in the goals of the KGMS. Many of the KGMS action items described in Section 11.0 below support the implementation of the RGMS as well. Additional initiatives that support the RGMS include a new Five Best Bets Citizen's Air Quality Plan in 2011, the LEAF program, preparation of the new Economic Development Strategy and the Official Plan Review. 11.0 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy Implementation The KGMS encompasses six goals that facilitate managing growth and development within the City of Kitchener. These goals support the RGMS and have been adapted to the City of Kitchener context. A significant share of the objectives, initiatives and recommendations of the KGMS have been initiated and completed as listed below. 9 2-12 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 Action Item Status Goal 7 Enhance our valued natural and cultural heritage resources 1 Greenlands Network Kitchener Natural Heritage Systems project is complete. New Official Plan underway. 2 Strengthen Official Plan: "Green" Review of "Green" Development Policies project is complete. New Official Plan is underway. 3 Updated Urban Design Manual: "Green" Updated in June 2010. Future additional updates pending new Official Plan. 4 Implement Groundwater Management Significant portion of Rosenberg Objectives Secondary Plan now adopted by City Council. 5 Heritage Inventory Mapping updated. 6 Cultural Heritage Landscapes (CHL) Proposed policies in new Official Plan. CHL inventory is a pending ro~ect. Goal 2 Create vibrant urban spaces 1 Minimum Density Targets Part of Comprehensive Review of Intensification Areas Project now complete. Considerations in the new Official Plan are underway. 2 Intensification Area Detailed Review/ Comprehensive Review of Nodes and Corridors/ Commercial Intensification Areas Project is Structure complete. 2A Sanitary Capacity Study Complete. 3 Explore the role of Fischer Hallman Road Part of SW Urban Area Studies: in SW Kitchener and the potential fora Community Master and OPA 90 that mixed use corridor is now adopted by City Council. 4 Intensification Opportunity Product Discussed and determined not to be practical or feasible at this time. Goal 3 Ensure reater trans ortation choice 1 Transportation Demand Management Being considered as part of the Plan Transportation Master Plan. 2 Transportation Master Plan Underway. 2a Cycling Cycling Master Plan is complete. Specific projects subject to Capital Budget funding. Goal 4 Foster a strong economy 1 Conduct a Comprehensive Review of Complete. Employment Lands 2 Infrastructure Funding Stimulus funding received, projects underway. GO Train pending, GO bus now existing. Rapid Transit funding and decisions made. 10 2-13 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2011 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-11-133 Goal 5 Strengthen communities 1 Long Range Planning Ongoing 2 Future Park Planning Parks Master Plan is complete. 3 Community Infrastructure Plan Internal conformity review is complete. 4 Prepare a Neighbourhood Strategy Project pending. (Community Centres/Programming) 5 Affordable Housing Policies under consideration as part of new Official Plan. Goal 6 Manage change in an effective and coordinated manner 1 Ongoing Program: Some improvements made to Dynamic Data Capabilities automated reports. Specific data items require new sources or quality control effort. 1A Monitorin Re ort Com leted each ear. 1 B Growth Management Plan Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) for 2009-2011approved in 2009. KGMP for 2011-2013 under consideration for October 2011. 2 Greenfield Assessment (ROP) Assessment complete to respond to new ROP policies and support draft new City Official Plan policies that are under review. 3 Southwest Regional Official Plan appeal issue underway. 4 Improve coordination of growth Significant improvements in management program with Development coordination of KGMP, DC and Charges and Capital Budget Forecast Capital Budget Forecast process. 5 Communications Plan: Phase III Additional work required. 6 Partnershi s Underwa . 7 Prepare new Official Plan First draft is currently under review. 12.0 Kitchener Growth Management Plan The Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) is an evolution of the former Staging of Development program and is used as a tool to assist with the implementation of the KGMS. The KGMP establishes priority levels for development and projects for each growth area within the City of Kitchener. It includes the prioritization and allocation of resources towards completing initiatives that are required to move lands from the draft approval stage to registration, construction and developing complete communities. The new KGMP - 2013 will be considered by City Council in October 2011. 11 2-14