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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCSD-15-061 - Kitchener Growth Management Strategy - 2015 Annual Monitoring Report Staff Report tic tl R Community Services Department wmkitchene►:ca REPORT TO: Community & Infrastructure Services Committee DATE OF MEETING: August 31, 2015 SUBMITTED BY: Alain Pinard, Director of Planning PREPARED BY: Natalie Goss, Senior Planner, 519-741-2200 ext. 7067 Sarah Coutu, Policy Planner WARD(S) INVOLVED: ALL DATE OF REPORT: August 10, 2015 REPORT NO.: CSD-15-061 SUBJECT: Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report RECOMMENDATION: That Report CSD-15-061 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy — 2015 Annual Monitoring Report be received for information, and; That Report CSD-15-061 be submitted to the Regional Municipality of Waterloo in fulfilment of Clause 22.1 of the Administrative Agreement between the City of Kitchener and the Region regarding delegated approval authority. BACKGROUND: The purpose of this report is to provide Committee and Council with the 2015 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy Annual Monitoring Report (Monitoring Report). The Monitoring Report is an action item of the 2009 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) which requires tracking of the general supply of land and the achievement of intensification and density targets on an annual basis. REPORT: The KGMS provides a long-term framework for planning where and how future residential and employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener. To ensure that growth contributes positively to our quality of life, the KGMS coordinates the provision of infrastructure and services with new development. The KGMS goals and actions support the Province's Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe (Growth Plan) and Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS). The KGMS introduced a number of goals, one of which was to develop and facilitate an ongoing growth management program to manage growth-related change in an effective and co-ordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of this goal is to prepare an annual monitoring report to track the supply of development opportunities and the ***This information is available in accessible formats upon request. *** Please call 519-741-2345 or TTY 1-866-969-9994 for assistance. 6 - 1 achievement of intensification and density targets. Monitoring reports have been prepared annually since 2010. The 2015 Monitoring Report (see Appendix A) provides a summary and assessment of growth within the Built-up Areas (intensification areas) and Designated Greenfield Areas of the City over the past year (June 2014 to June 2015). Highlights of the 2015 Monitoring Report include: • The estimated density of the Urban Growth Centre (UGC) increased from 167 residents and jobs per hectare (2014) to 169 residents and jobs per hectare (2015). Kitchener continues to be well on its way to achieving the provincial target of 200 and the new Official Plan target of 225 residents and jobs per hectare by 2031; • The intensification level over the past year (new residential construction that occurs within the built-up area) is 49% and over the past 5-years is an average of 48%. This exceeds the target of 45% that is required in the Region's new Official Plan; • 2014 saw the second highest number of new dwelling units created (2,417) in the last 30+ years; • The City continues to have the potential to accommodate its current allocated population and employment growth within its urban area. ALIGNMENT WITH CITY OF KITCHENER STRATEGIC PLAN: This report aligns with the City of Kitchener Strategic Plan community priority of `Development' as it monitors growth as part of an ongoing program to manage growth- related change in an effective and co-ordinated manner. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS: There are no new or additional capital budget requests with this recommendation. COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT: INFORM — This report has been posted to the City's website with the agenda in advance of the council / committee meeting. In addition, this report is scheduled to be presented to the Waterloo Region Homebuilders Liaison Committee for information in mid-August. CONCLUSION: The 2015 Monitoring Report demonstrates that Kitchener continues to be well positioned to accommodate growth and achieve identified targets. REVIEWED BY: Brandon Sloan, Manager, Long Range and Policy Planning ACKNOWLEDGED BY: Alain Pinard, Acting Deputy CAO (Community Services) Appendix A— Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) Annual Monitoring Report - 2015 6 - 2 KjTcHENER Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report ���, � I, �IL�IiIIIIU'I��Il�ll�iii�ulllyyo�i� 1V � I , umr�oipiim0000 i���iv �IP�iI ui�u.� �' Qor,i �li`n"�fG�V�IM�I I�IuM1ih I i w m � i IN�y>, i ioiia r III , Executive Summary In 2009 Kitchener City Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) in support of the City's Strategic Plan. Kitchener is expected to accommodate a relatively significant amount of residential and employment growth over the next twenty years. We are also mandated by the Province to achieve certain numerical targets and other planning objectives. Kitchener is on the leading edge with respect to its ability to track and monitor specific growth data in a dynamic manner. As part of Kitchener's ongoing growth management program the intent is to continually refine the data, improve the dynamic capabilities and provide information to help support numerous corporate studies and infrastructure projects. A snapshot of the data is contained within this report. All of the goals and action items of the KGMS are completed or are within the Corporate Business Plan to be completed over the next few years. The results of the 2015 growth management data are encouraging. The number of residents and jobs per hectare (RJs/ha) in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown) is gradually increasing from approximately 167 RJs/ha in 2014 to approximately 169 RJs/ha in 2015. This is an excellent step towards achieving the provincially-mandated target of 200 RJs/ha by 2031. The City's current intensification level of 49% and 5-year average intensification level of 48% within its Built-Up Area continues to be higher than the intended intensification target (45%). In 2014, building permits were issued for a total of 2,416 new residential units. This represents a 225% increase from 2013. The majority of new residential units developed were in the form of multiple dwellings (63%). In future years, the formal intensification areas, dwelling types and other matters will be updated to reflect the new Official Plan and pending new Zoning By-law. 6 - 4 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 1. Introduction In 2009, Council approved the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS). The KGMS provides a framework for planning where and how future residential and employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener while positively contributing to our quality of life. The goals and actions outlined in the KGMS support the provincial Places to Grow Growth Plan for the Greater Horseshoe (Growth Plan) and the Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS). The KGMS introduced an ongoing growth management program to manage growth- related change in an effective and coordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of this goal is to prepare an Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report to track the supply of development opportunities and the achievement of intensification and density targets. Monitoring Reports have been prepared and presented to Council and the development industry annually since 2010. The Monitoring report provides an update on the progress of implementing the KGMS action items along with provincial and regional growth plans. The primary purpose of the Monitoring Report is to update data from the KGMS Background Study: Current Baseline Report (Parts 6-9) annually. It presents a summary of recent residential development rates and updates the potential capacity to accommodate growth both within the Built-up Area (intensification areas) and in the Designated Greenfield Area. The original data from the KGMS Background Study was as of June 16, 2008 (with some of the existing residential data at the time coming from the 2006 Census). This monitoring report captures a snapshot of all data (with the exception of Sections 3 and 4) as of June 16, 2015 (the anniversary date of the Growth Plan). l i 1 i i i i Y 7 r n p l Construction in progress at the location of Google's additional offices 1 6 - 5 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 2. Delegated Approval Authority Summary for 2014 This section provides a summary of the number and status of plans of subdivision, plans of condominium, part-lot control applications, consent applications and the number and type of dwelling units (herein after referred to as units) created by these approvals in 2014. This is a requirement of an agreement between the City of Kitchener and the Region of Waterloo regarding delegated approval authority. Figure 1: 2014 Development Applications Received L N � O +, N N N y 3 C CI O N aNi d 'a V QQ Z O O O O w Q w J O = O O LL O O O Q +r O O C ALL � t- ++ O i O +2 N U co U U Subdivisions 1 30T-14201 GEHL PL 402 274 30CDM-14204 ADAM ST 21 0 30CDM-14205 OLD HURON RD 0 100 Condominiums 5 30CDM-14206 RIVER RD E 0 30 30CDM-14207 BLAIR CREEK DR 0 40 30CDM-14208 GAGE AVE 28 0 Part Lot Control 18 Consents 112 TOTAL 136 451 444 The number of development applications (for new lot creation) received in 2014 (136) was higher than the number received in 2013 (77). The increase is primarily attributed to Part Lot Control and Consent applications. 2 6 - 6 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 Figure 2: 2014 Development Applications Approved Combination of Combination of 2014 Singles, Semis or Multiple Residential, Street Fronting Cluster Townhouse Townhouse Units and Quad Units Subdivision Draft Approved Units 73 12 Subdivision Draft Approved Units (Appealed to Ontario Municipal 680 1,046 Board) Condominium Draft Approved Units* 0 12 Subdivision Registered Units 778 124 Condominium Registered Units* 32 981 Part Lot Control 8 0 Consents 23 0 Total 1,594 2,175 *Includes condominium conversions A total of 85 dwelling units were created through an approved draft plan of subdivision in 2014. An additional 1,726 units received Council approval in 2014 through plans of subdivisions however; they were appealed to the Ontario Municipal Board. The number of condominium registered units in 2014 (1,013) was considerably higher than 2013 (290). 3 6 - 7 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 3. Residential Development Rates This section provides an overview of past development rates in the City through the examination of building permits for new residential units by dwelling type. Figure 3: Residential Development Rates New Residential Dwelling Units Created Through Building Permit* 5-year 10-year 20-year Average Average Average Dwelling Type 2013 2014 (2010-2014) (2004-2014) (1995-2014) Single Detached* 346 503 481 600 652 Semi-Detached* 22 18 32 64 67 Duplex** 85 87 16 17 16 Townhouses 217 275 271 314 259 Multiple Dwellings*** 400 1,534 343 352 272 Total New Units 1,070 2,417 1,142 1,347 1,266 *Gross new units (conversion/additions included, demolitions not subtracted) **Includes additions that create new units ***Includes additions that create new units and stacked townhouses In 2014, building permits were issued for a total of 2,417 new residential units. This is an increase of 1,347 residential units compared to 2013. 2014 saw the second highest number of new dwelling units created in the last 30+ years and more than double the 5- year average. The majority of new units were in the form of multiple dwellings, accounting for 63% of new residential units. The number of new multiple dwelling units almost quadrupled from 2013 to 2014. This is due in part to four significant high-rise apartment buildings beginning construction located at 460 Belmont Avenue West (HIP Developments), 15 Prince Albert Boulevard (Reids Heritage), 200 Old Carriage Drive (Drewlo Holdings) and, 101 Fallowfield Drive (Drewlo Holdings). 2014 also saw a continued rise in the newer forms of multiples like stacked townhouse units and low-rise multiple units. Building permits issued during the first six months of 2015 created 546 new residential units. Compared to the same time in 2014, the numbers are significantly lower which can mainly be attributed to a typical drop-off after a very high year of multiple dwelling construction. It is expected that over the next few years there will be an increase in single detached dwellings as several approved subdivisions are now under or nearing construction. 4 6 - 8 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 4. Intensification Level The Region of Waterloo's new Official Plan requires urban municipalities, including Kitchener, to achieve a minimum of 45% of all new residential development within its Built-up Area (BUA). The map below illustrates the location of Kitchener's BUA, Designated Greenfield Area (DGA), built boundary line (the limits of the City's developed urban area as established by the Province in 2006) and shows the location of new units created within these areas. -.woo ymrgr �Nti,oti r a.w mrwuh r,r,riNw !GNNifd l ik i 0*9* V iri O 'gym ` c�t�w �N�r�r�N�mr�Nrr% k rlrur,AINN 1018, 1 N NrNi-NNN rll�'W nviruW 14 u7n i �IfW#Wd d*k e m'N'„GN2"A�'�UN�"P�14&°Y!4JNJ/Ml �Ri1R4Ntr,V19F UV�Pr�, ������p� Af I 1 l" NN, t ;r r u N1�Y Nr,NK%hYN�NNNI„N/,iI° r N �„1 T uYV y 'u �1�,�Nfty�rmili�V�NW�la7!�wHAN �NOfd���^���”��i�1N�yr���sdp�w������r��� N��` �!/P v;i i r � fl I�yiNli� I�is � ,,Y1N �,�pK�flNnrva��P�u�w i6 � NN 5 6 - 9 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 Achieving the minimum intensification level could be a challenge for some municipalities that still have a significant amount of Designated Greenfield Area (DGA) lands available and limited intensification opportunities. Kitchener however, is well positioned to achieve this target. The most recent measures of new residential units by type in the BUA and DGA are indicated in Figure 4 below. Figure 4: Designated Greenfield Area and Built-up Area Development Levels (June 16/14 - June 15/15) Designated Greenfield Area Built-Up Area (New Residential (New Residential Dwelling Type Units) Units) Total Single Detached 535 17 552 Semi-Detached 2 14 16 Duplex 3 81 84 Street Townhouses 237 0 237 Cluster Townhouses 0 80 80 Multiple Dwellings 274 817 1,091 Total 1 1,051 1 1,009 1 27060 Percent of Total 1 51% 1 49% 1 100% As expected, there were more multiple dwellings in the BUA and more single detached and street townhouse dwellings in the DGA. A substantial amount of the new units created in the DGA were multiple dwellings (26%). Overall, the City continues to achieve a balance in new residential units between the DGA and BUA. The most recent intensification level of 49% continues to be an indication that the City remains positioned to exceed the intensification target. Following a year of major multiple dwelling construction, and considering that new greenfield areas are opening up, it is expected that moving forward over the next few years Kitchener may not achieve as high an intensification level. 6 6 - 10 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 Figure 5 illustrates the historic intensification levels, as per the Provincial Built Boundary Line. Figure 5: Intensification Level (2001 to present) Intensification Levels - 2001 to Present Built Boundary Line Method 70 60 d 50 r- 40 °- 30 w 20 10 0 Nq, �rt, NN �h �O �O rO 1O rO rO �O �O �O �O �O rO 1O 1O �O Year The intensification level has remained relatively high in the past couple of years as redevelopment continues to occur in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown) and in several locations throughout the City. However, the City expects to see "spike" and "dip" years with respect to the BUA intensification level as the timing of 2-3 apartment developments can impact the reported rate in a given year for a municipality of our scale. An average will provide a better understanding of whether the City is on track to achieving any required intensification level. Figure 6 below illustrates the 5 year average intensification levels from June 2001 to June 2015. Figure 6: 5 Year Average Intensification Levels 5 Year Average Intensification Level Year (%) June 2001 - June 2006 50 June 2006 - June 2011 41 June 2011 - June 2015 48 The 5-year average Intensification Level (June 2011 - June 2015) is now at 48% with the 10-year average (2005-2015) slightly lower at 44%. 7 6 - 11 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 5. Intensification Areas — Existing Measures and Additional Capacity for New Growth Existing Measures Figure 7 quantifies the existing number of dwelling units, residents, jobs and density measure (residents and jobs per hectare) for the currently identified Intensification Areas within the BUA. Figure 7: Existing Measures for Current Intensification Areas Land Non- Intensification Area Area Units Residents Residential Jobs Residents (Ha) Floor + Jobs/ha Space (m2) Urban Growth Centre* 107 2,242 4,036 878,885 14,056 169 Primary Node 115 1,792 3,227 203,504 3,515 76 Mixed Use Nodes 294 3,790 6,817 276,030 5,972 40 Mixed Use Corridors 123 1,786 3,437 268,719 6,315 89 Neighbourhood Mixed 46 162 414 10,695 1,828 52 Use Centres Comprehensive 27 16 29 126,982 351 11 Development Areas Subtotal of 712 9,788 17,959 1,764,815 32,037 Intensification Areas Site Specific Intensification 1,094 2,159 713,958 7,619 53 Opportunities Grand Total 10,882 20,118 2,478,773 39,656 **UGC data is based on several data sources including the Economic Development downtown employment database The estimated density of the Urban Growth Centre (UGC) increased from 167 RJs/ha in 2013 to 169 RJs/ha in 2014. As redevelopment continues to occur in the City's intensification areas, the residential and employment densities continue to gradually rise as expected. 8 6 - 12 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 Capacity for New Growth Figure 8 explores the potential for accommodating new development within each of intensification areas based on the existing zoning only. Figure 8: Additional Capacity Measures for Current Intensification Areas 50% Scenario It is assumed that the intensification opportunities may have a capacity of, on average, up to 50% of their maximum zoned capacity during the planning horizon Non- Residential Intensification Floor Residents Areas Area (Ha) Units Residents Space(m2) Jobs + Jobs/ha Urban Growth 107 1,871 3,331 199,950 8,724 112 Centre Primary Node 115 304 655 0 1,114 18 Mixed Use Nodes 294 4,176 8,401 316,865 8,579 66 Mixed Use 123 6,957 12,643 435,953 13,251 184 Corridors Neighbourhood Mixed Use 46 68 123 22,100 234 7 Centres Comprehensive Development 27 942 2,067 2,199 273 66 Areas Subtotal of Intensification 712 14,317 27,220 977,068 32,176 Areas Site Specific Intensification 2,643 4,716 252,023 4,782 43 Opportunities Grand Total 16,960 31,936 1,229,091 36,958 Buildings and sites within the Urban Growth Centre and the City's other Intensification Areas are well positioned with existing land use, density, design approvals and amenities in place which can help the existing capacity to grow in these areas. New development applications and updates to the zoning in these areas as a result of the Comprehensive Review of the Zoning By-law (CRoZBy) and Planning Around Rapid Transit Stations (PARTS) will continue to refine the planning framework and add to the capacity to accommodate growth in these areas. These types of projects not only help achieve the provincial numerical target but, perhaps more importantly, they contribute positively to the social, environmental, economic and cultural well-being of the community. 9 6 - 13 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 Figure 9 provides an account of the total number of units, residents, non-residential floor space and jobs that could result at build-out of the Intensification Areas. Figure 9: Total Measures (Existing +Additional Capacity) for Current Intensification Areas Non- Residential Intensification Area Floor Residents Areas (Ha) Units Residents Space(m2) Jobs + Jobs/ha Urban Growth Centre 107 4,113 7,367 1,078,835 22,780 281 Primary Node 115 2,096 3,881 0 4,629 94 Mixed Use Nodes 294 7,966 15,218 592,895 14,551 106 Mixed Use Corridors 123 8,743 16,080 704,672 19,566 272 Neighbourhood Mixed Use Centres 46 230 537 32,795 2,063 59 Comprehensive Development Areas 27 958 2,096 129,181 624 77 Subtotal of Intensification Areas 712 24,105 45,180 2,741,883 64,213 Site Specific Intensification Opportunities 3,737 6,874 965,981 12,401 97 Grand Total 27,842 52,054 3,707,864 76,614 Given the additional opportunities for redevelopment, there is capacity and potential to achieve higher densities within Kitchener's Intensification Areas. 10 6 - 14 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 6. Estimated Land Supply (Kitchener Measures) The estimated land supply for Kitchener is a total of the potential capacity within the BUA and the DGA. As development moves from raw land through the development approvals stage and eventually to construction, the land supply estimates become more accurate. 7.1 Potential Built-up Area (BUA) Supply The Built-up Area land supply includes lands within the Built Boundary Line that are within intensification areas, are site specific intensification opportunities, include a minor intensification factor within existing communities (community interiors) and the potential supply from registered, draft approved and in-circulation subdivisions. Figure 10: Estimated Built-up Area Supply (capacity of intensification lands inside the Built Boundary) Non-Res. Intensification Area Units Residents Space Jobs (mz)* Urban Growth Centre 1,871 3,331 199,950 8,724 Primary Node 304 655 0 1,114 Mixed Use Nodes** 4,176 8,401 316,865 8,579 Mixed Use Corridors 6,957 12,643 435,953 13,251 Neighbourhood Mixed Use Centres 68 123 22,100 234 Comprehensive Development Areas 942 2,067 2,199 273 Subtotal of Intensification Areas 14,317 27,220 977,068 32,176 Site Specific Intensification Opportunities 2,643 4,716 252,023 4,782 Total Potential Supply of Current 16,960 31,936 1,229,091 36,958 Intensification Areas Community Interiors 800 2,024 0 55 Registered (Vacant Land Inventory) 1,678 3,571 229,282 3,284 Draft Approved 119 345 0 0 In Circulation 0 0 0 0 Other Designated 0 0 0 0 Subtotal 2,597 5,940 229,282 3,339 Total Potential Supply (Current Zoning) 19,557 37,876 1,458,373 40,297 *Some data reported utilizes MPAC data which has limitations (i.e. non-residential building floor space). **Does not include Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node which is in the Designated Greenfield Area. Figure 10 illustrates that the City's current estimated Built-up Area land supply includes a potential capacity of approximately 19,000 residential units and 1.5 million square metres of non-residential floor space. 11 6 - 15 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 7.2 Potential Designated Greenfield Area Supply The potential DGA inventory includes all lands outside the Built Boundary Line that are designated for development in the City's Official Plan. The estimates will become more refined as land parcels within this area move through the development approval process. The dwelling unit numbers are primarily based on maximums for blocks of land that have a range of units. Similar to Figure 10, the DGA land supply includes intensification areas, site specific intensification opportunities, lands which have been designated in the Official Plan but do not currently have development applications (e.g. portions of the Rosenberg Community) and the potential supply from registered, draft approved and in-circulation subdivisions. Figure 11: Estimated Designated Greenfield Area Supply (lands outside the Built Boundary) Non-Res. Floor Space Greenfield Location Units Residents (m2) Jobs Intensification Areas* 240 430 57,100 1,180 Site Specific Intensification Opportunities - - 44,773 383 Other Designated Lands** 8,245 19,319 120,154 5,915 Registered (Vacant Land Inventory) 2,569 7,014 89,460 1,463 Draft Approved 1 51612 137783 37030 1 787 In Circulation 37386 87513 527090 126 Total 20,052 49,059 366,607 9,854 *Includes Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node (outside Built Boundary Line) ** Using 55 residents+jobs/hectare assumption. Lands are net Provincial constraints only. No Hidden Valley Community included. Includes Rosenberg lands without a development application, based on densities in the Rosenberg Secondary Plan. Figure 11 illustrates that the City's current estimated Designated Greenfield Area land supply includes a potential capacity of approximately 20,000 residential units and over 350,000 square metres of non-residential floor space. 12 6 - 16 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 7.3 Estimated Total Supply The potential supply of both the BUA and DGA inventories can be combined to provide a total estimated inventory for residential and employment land in Kitchener. Figure 12: Estimated Total Supply: Intensification and Designated Greenfield Area Location Units Residents Non-Res. Space Jobs Built-up Area (BUA) 19,557 37,876 1,458,373 40,297 Designated Greenfield 20,052 49,059 366,607 9,854 Area (DGA) Total 39,610 86,934 1,824,980 50,150 The estimated supply of dwelling units has decreased in the BUA and DGA from June 2014. The total supply of dwelling units and jobs is expected to eventually decrease as development continues to occur and the city moves towards a "mature state". 7. Current Capacity for Growth This section compares the current population and employment capacity with the population and employment allocations provided by the Region of Waterloo. Figure 13: Population and Employment Allocations vs. Estimated Capacity Population Employment Existing 238,400* 87,409** Capacity 86,934 50,150 Total 325,334 137,559 ***2029 Growth Allocation 313,000 130,000 Difference 12,334 7,559 *Unofficial interim population estimate as of mid-year 2015, Region **Based on the 2011 Census household survey which was conducted in a different format. Also includes the incremental increase in UGC (downtown)jobs since 2011 ***Once the 2031 Population Allocation has been incorporated into the City's Official Plan it will be reported in future monitoring reports Kitchener's 2015 mid-year population estimated by the Region is now 238,400; approximately 2,400 more people than reported mid-year 2014. Figure 13 shows that the City has an existing supply/capacity of developable land within the BUA and DGA that can accommodate more residents and jobs than the 2029 population and employment allocation from the Region. The allocations to 2031 were recently identified and considered through the Ontario Municipal Board (OMB) process for the Region's Official Plan. Following the written decision, a process will be required for the Region to update the allocations within the City's new Official Plan. Subsequent monitoring reports will be updated to reflect the change. 13 6 - 17 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 8. Places to Grow Implementation In June 2014 Kitchener City Council adopted a new Official Plan. The new Official Plan has been approved by the Region of Waterloo and is currently under appeal. The new Official Plan includes policies that implement the Growth Plan. The KGMS annual monitoring report will continue to monitor new development and track Kitchener's achievements of the Growth Plan targets. Growth Forecasts In response to the Provincial growth forecasts (and Regional allocation thereof), the City developed background information in support of the KGMS that analyzes the growth capacity of various areas of the City. As indicated in Section 8.0, Kitchener still has the capacity to accommodate the allocated growth into appropriate areas. The Province continues to update long-term growth forecast scenarios for the Greater Golden Horseshoe. These forecasts are required to be included within the Region's Official Plan and the allocations of these forecasts within local Official Plans. At such time as the Region of Waterloo considers a future amendment to their Plan to identify any different/further allocation of the forecasts for Kitchener, an update to the growth management assessment and the Kitchener Official Plan may be required. Urban Growth Centre The Growth Plan requires that our Urban Growth Centre be planned to achieve a minimum of 200 RJs/ha by 2031. The City's new Official Plan sets this target at 225 RJs/ha by 2031. The present density is 169 RJs/ha. With additional intensification projects currently happening or proposed in the UGC, an opportunity exists to exceed these targets. Intensification The Growth Plan requires that 40% of residential development be directed to the BUA by 2015. According to the recently approved ROP, the City must achieve a minimum of 45% of all new residential development within its BUA. To achieve and monitor this target, the City has a dynamic system that tracks building permit issuance for new residential units inside and outside the Built Boundary Line. Given the high level of new apartment units within the BUA over the past year, the most recent intensification level was 49%. Designated Greenfield Area Densities The Growth Plan mandates that future development within the Designated Greenfield Area should achieve specific, transit-supportive density targets. Kitchener's target, according to the new Region Official Plan, is 55 residents and jobs per hectare in residential subdivisions. Kitchener is well positioned to meet this target. There are several plans of subdivision that are in areas served, or to be served, by transit that meet or exceed the overall target. The Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) provides a tool for identifying and tracking the Designated Greenfield Area density. Planning Principles Planning a city is not just about achieving certain numerical targets. The majority of the Growth Plan includes policy direction to achieve healthy and complete communities. Kitchener has long been a leader in promoting walkable, transit-supportive development. Kitchener's efforts to continue to revitalize the Urban Growth Centre, clean up brownfield 14 6 - 18 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2015 Annual Monitoring Report CSD-15-061 sites and achieve mixed use developments that are pedestrian-oriented are significant. We are further striving to enhance the linkages between land use planning and other community considerations such as transportation options, community infrastructure, social dynamics, economics and environmental conservation. Ultimately, the goal is to help achieve a higher quality of life in a healthy and complete community. In 2014 the Province released a set of 14 performance indicators to measure the progress of the Growth Plan. These performance indicators include, among other things, measuring Urban Growth Centre and Designated Greenfield Area densities. The Province intends to report on these performance indicators every five years. 9. Regional Growth Management Strategy Implementation The goals outlined in the Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS), are largely reflected in the goals of the KGMS. Many of the KGMS action items described in Section 10 below support the implementation of the RGMS as well. Additional initiatives that support the RGMS include the new Five Best Bets for Air Quality program, the pending update to the Kitchener Economic Development Strategy (KEDS) and the new Official Plan. 10. Kitchener Growth Management Strategy Implementation The KGMS encompasses six goals that facilitate managing growth and development within the City of Kitchener. These goals support the RGMS and have been adapted to the City of Kitchener context. A significant portion of the objectives, initiatives and recommendations of the KGMS have been completed in previous years and the status of remaining items is listed below. Action Item Status Goal 1 Enhance our valued natural and cultural heritage resources 3 Update Urban Design Will be part of the comprehensive update Manual: "Green" scheduled for 2016-2017. Goal 5 Strengthen communities 4 Prepare a Neighbourhood Project in the Corporate Business Plan and Strategy underway. 11. Kitchener Growth Management Plan The Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) is an evolution of the former Staging of Development program and is used as a tool to assist with the implementation of the KGMS. The KGMP establishes priority levels for development and infrastructure projects for each growth area within the City. It includes the prioritization and allocation of resources towards completing initiatives that are required to move lands from the draft approval stage to registration, construction and developing complete communities. The current KGMP (2013-2015+) was adopted by City Council in 2013. The next KGMP for 2015-2017+will be considered by Committee of Council in September 2015. 15 6 - 19