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HomeMy WebLinkAboutDSD-19-181 - Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) 2019 Annual Monitoring ReportREPORT TO:Community & Infrastructure Services Committee DATE OF MEETING: September 9, 2019 SUBMITTED BY:Alain Pinard, Director of Planning, 519-741-2200 ext. 7319 PREPARED BY:Sarah Coutu, Planner(Policy), 519-741-2200 ext. 7069 WARD(S) INVOLVED:ALL DATE OF REPORT:August 22, 2019 REPORT NO.: DSD-19-181 SUBJECT:Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2019 Annual Monitoring Report RECOMMENDATION: That Report DSD-19-181Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2019 Annual Monitoring Report be received and submitted to the Regional Municipality of Waterloo in fulfillment of Clause 22.1 of the Administrative Agreement between the City of Kitchener and the Region regarding delegated approval authority. BACKGROUND: The purpose of this report is to provide Committee and Council with the Kitchener Growth Management Strategy 2019 Annual Monitoring Report (Monitoring Report). The Monitoring Report is an action item of the 2009 Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS), which requires tracking of the general supply of land and the achievement of intensification and density targets on an annual basis.This report also fulfills a requirement of the Admin Agreement between the City of Kitchener and the Region to provide an annual summary of subdivision and condominium approval activity. REPORT: The KGMS provides a long-term framework for planning where and how future residential and employment growth should occur in Kitchener. To ensure that growth contributes positively to our quality of life, the KGMS coordinates the provision of infrastructure and services with new development. The KGMS goals and actions support the Province’s 2006 Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe (Growth Plan) and Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS). The KGMS introduced a number of goals, one of which was to develop and facilitate an ongoing growth management program to manage growth-related change in an effective and co-ordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of this goal is to prepare an annual monitoring report to track the supply of development opportunities and the achievement of intensification and density targets. Monitoring reports have been prepared annually since 2010. *** This information is available in accessible formats upon request. *** Please call 519-741-2345 or TTY 1-866-969-9994 for assistance. 3 - 1 The 2019 Monitoring Report (Appendix A) provides a summary and assessment of growth with the Built-up Area (intensification areas) and Designated Greenfield Area of the city over the past year. Highlights of the 2019 Monitoring Report Include: Residential Development Rates in 2018 1,302 new dwellingswere created in 2018. This is a decrease from 1,434units in 2017, and below the 10 and 20-year average of approximately 1,500 units per year. Given that 2016 was the second highest year for new units created through building permits in the last 30 years,it is not surprising tosee a decrease in permits in the couple of years following. Almost half (47%) of new residential units developed were in the form of multiple dwellings. Urban Growth Centre (UGC) Density The estimated density of the Urban Growth Centre (UGC) remained at 189 residents and jobs per hectarefrom 2018 to 2019. While there were additional residential units constructed that contributed to increased residents, the total number of jobs in the UGCdecreased and may continue to dip over the next year, largely due to the anticipated relocation of a large insurance company. Over time, jobs areexpected to return as vacatedspace becomes occupied by new businesses. Based on planning applications and permits in process, it is estimated that approximately 2,600 units may be built and occupied in the UGC in the next 2-5 years. Kitchener continues to be well on its way to achieving the Official Plan target of 225 residents and jobs per hectare by 2031. Built Up Areaand Designated Greenfield Area Development (June 2018 and June 2019) The intensification level over the past year (new residential construction that occurs within the Built-up Area) is 63%. This is a significant increase from the previous year’s 37%. Over the next several years, it is expected that the intensification level will remain steady or decrease as lands within Kitchener’s Designated Greenfield Area (i.e. newer subdivision areas) build out. The City’s 5-year average intensification level is 46%, which meets the Region of Waterloo’s minimum target of 45%. Building permits issued for new residential units between June 2018 and June2019 within the Designated Greenfield Area continue to provide a varied and balanced supply of dwelling types. 42% of new residential units were in ground oriented housing forms (i.e., single detached, semi-detached, duplex and street townhouse dwellings) and 58% were in multiple dwellings (including stacked and back-to-back townhouse dwellings). The number of multiple dwelling permits issued in the Built Up Area far exceed those that were issues within the Designated Greenfield Area. Capacity for Growth The City continues to have the potential to accommodate its current allocated population and employment growthwithin its urban area. 3 - 2 ALIGNMENT WITH CITY OF KITCHENER STRATEGIC PLAN: Strategic Priority 3 – Safe and Thriving Neighbourhoods Strategy 3.3 – Manage growth, curb urban sprawl, and foster more mixed-use development, ensuring new development is integrated with the diversity and character of the surrounding community. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS: There are no new or additional capital budget requests with this recommendation. COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT: INFORM – This report has been posted to the City’s website with the agenda in advance of the council / committee meeting.In addition, monitoring report information was presented to the Waterloo Region Home Builders Liaison Committee in August. CONCLUSION: The 2019 Monitoring Report demonstrates that Kitchener continues to be well positioned to accommodate growth and achieve identified targets. REVIEWED BY: Brandon Sloan, Manager, Long Range and Policy Planning,519-741-2200 ext. 7648 Tim Donegani, Senior Planner, 519-741-2200 ext. 7067 Lauren Chlumsky,Economic Development Analyst,519-741-2200 ext. 7072 ACKNOWLEDGED BY: Justin Readman - General Manager, Development Services Appendix A – Kitchener Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) Annual Monitoring Report 2019 3 - 3 Appendix A KitchenerGrowth Management Strategy 2019Annual Monitoring Report September 9, 2019 RE: DSD-19-181 3 - 4 Executive Summary In 2009 Kitchener approved its Growth Management Strategy (KGMS) in support of the City’s Strategic Plan. Kitchener is expected to accommodate a relatively significant amount of residential and employment growth by 2031. We are also mandated by the Province to achieve certain numerical targetsand other planning objectives. Kitchener is on the leading edge with respect to its ability to track and monitor specific growth data in a dynamic manner. A snapshot of the data is contained within this report. All of the goals and action items of the KGMS are completed or near completion. The results of the 2019 growth management data continue to be encouraging. The City’s current intensification level of 63% and 5-year average intensification level of 46% within its Built-Up Area exceeds the regional intensification target (45%). The number of residents and jobs per hectare (RJs/ha) in the Urban Growth Centre (Downtown) is 194 RJs. With additional intensification projects currently happening or proposed in the UGC, the city is well positioned to achieving the provincially mandated target of 200 RJs/ha by 2031, which was further established in the City’s Official Plan at a minimum target of 225 RJs/ha by 2031. In 2018, building permits were issued for a total of 1,302 new residential units. This represents a 10% decrease from 2017and below the 10 and 20-year average of approximately 1,500 units per year. However, given that 2016 was the second highest year for new units created through building permits in the last 30 years, it is not unexpected to see a decrease in issued building permits in the couple years following. Almost half (47%) of new residential units developed were in the form of multiple dwellings. The City’s growth management dynamic tracking and monitoring system will be updated in future years to reflect the new Official Plan (entirely in effect as of 2019), new Zoning By-law (Stage 1 under appeal) and changes to provincial legislation. 3 - 5 1.Introduction In 2009, Kitchener approved its Growth Management Strategy (KGMS). The KGMS provides a framework for planning where and how future residential and employment growth can be accommodated in Kitchener while positively contributing to our quality of life. The goals and actions outlined in the KGMS support the provincial Places to Grow Growth Plan for the Greater Horseshoe (2006Growth Plan) and the Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS). The KGMS introduced an ongoing growth management program to manage growth-related change in an effective and coordinated manner (Goal 6). One of the action items of this goal is to prepare an Annual Growth Management Monitoring Report to track the supply of development opportunities and the achievement of intensification and density targets. Monitoring Reports have been preparedand presented to Council and the development industry annually since 2010. The Monitoring report provides an update on the progress of implementing the KGMS action items along with provincial and regional growth plans. The primary purpose of the Monitoring Report is to update data from the KGMS Background Study: Current Baseline Report (Parts 6-9) annually. It presents a summary of recent residential development rates and updates the potential capacity to accommodate growth bothwithin the Built-up Area(intensification areas) and in the Designated Greenfield Area. The original data from the KGMS Background Study wasas of June 16, 2008 (with some of the existing residential data at the time coming from the 2006Census). The monitoring report also provides a summary of development applications that have been received and those that have been approvedin 2018. This monitoring report captures a snapshot of all data (with the exception of Sections 2 and3) as ofJune 16, 2019(the anniversary date of the 2006 Growth Plan). 3 - 6 2.Delegated Approval Authority Summary for 2018 This section provides a summary of the number of plans of subdivision, plans of condominium, part-lot control applications, and consent applications received and the number and type of dwelling units (herein after referred to as units) approvedthrough these applications in 2018. Reporting on those approvalsis a requirement of an agreement between the City of Kitchener and the Region of Waterloo regarding delegated approval authority.Figure 1 includesthe number of applications received, approved and registered in 2018. Figure 1: 2018 Development Applications Received, Approved and Registered Combination of Multiple Combination of Singles, Residential, Cluster # of Application TypeSemis or Street Fronting Townhouse Units, Applications Townhouse UnitsCommercial and Mixed Use Developments Received Applications Subdivision21906729 Condominium894594 Part Lot Control 13N/AN/A Consents66N/AN/A Total8920001323 Approved Lots/Units Subdivision190 Condominium20389 Part Lot Control 1440 Consents6162162 Total 7875551 Registered Lots/Units Subdivision5509171 Condominium149641 Total 19518812 3 - 7 9 131866 680688389655136 Total 2,635 - 4 75 /CT 729389 171594641 2018 Multiple 1366 - 9 94141461 509 SST 1,906 and registered - 29 19*33* 284283603695532371 Total approved 7 -- - 6 CT 526 222583675 201 Multiple/ 19*33* - 6 62202023 283371 SST 32 25*48* 142449633384673924145 Total 6 nsent applications received, 85 CT5** 124186232384615897 201 Multiple/ 25*48* - 1858276027 263401 SST 4024 20*62* 160186660554498 Total 3,505 Multiple, Cluster Townhouse Dwelling 5 – - 4 CT 4** 108554 660470 201 1,190 Multiple/ 20*62* - - 52284020 182 SST 2,315 8 851223 18* 676902219 112* Total 1,013 4 - - 1212 CT 274 124170981 Subdivision, Condominium, Part Lot Control, and Consent Applications Received, Approved and Registered201 Multiple/ 18* 112* 2018 - - 8 73 493223 402778 SST . 2018 to 4 Figure 2: 2013 visions Single, Semi, Street Townhouse Dwelling; Multiple/CT – Consents Subdi Condominiums Part Lot Control Figure 2 compares the number of subdivision, condominium, part lot control, and cofrom 201 ReceivedDraft ApprovedRegisteredReceivedDraft ApprovedRegisteredReceivedApprovedReceivedApprovedSST *Total number of applications received**Total number of multiple blocks approved 3 - 8 3.Residential Development Rates This section provides an overview ofpast development rates in the City through the examination of building permits fornew residential units by dwelling type. Figure 3: Residential Development Rates New Residential Dwelling Units Created Through Building Permit* 10-year 20-year 5-year AverageAverageAverage Dwelling Type20172018(2014-2018)(2009-2018)(1999-2018) Single Detached*299298511493650 Semi-Detached*1030253251 Duplex**1011461018454 Townhouses101216283282299 Multiple Dwellings***923612858621471 Total New Units1,4341,3021,7791,5121,525 *Gross new units (conversion/additions included, demolitions not subtracted) **Includes additions that create new units ***Includes additions that create new units and stacked townhouses In 2018, building permits were issued for a total of 1,302 new residential units. This represents a 10% decrease from 2017and is below the 10 and 20-year average of approximately 1,500 units per year. However, given that 2016 was the second highest year for new units created through building permits inthe last 30 years, it is not surprising to see a decrease in issued building permits in the couple years following. Almost half (47%) of new residential units developed were in the form of multiple dwellings. During the first six months of 2019the City issued building permits for 682new residential units. Compared to the same time in 2018, the numbers are much higher. 3 - 9 4.Intensification Level The Region of Waterloo’s Official Plan requires the achievement of a region-wide target of a minimum of 45% of all new residential development to be located within the Built-up Area (BUA). The map below illustrates the location of Kitchener’s BUA, Designated Greenfield Area (DGA), built boundary line (the limits of the City’s developed urban area as established by the Province in 2006). It shows the location of new units created within these areasbetween June 16, 2018and June 15, 2019. 3 - 10 Achieving the minimum intensification level of 45% could be a challenge for some municipalities that still have a significantamount of Designated Greenfield Area (DGA)lands available and limited intensification opportunities. The most recent measures of new residential units by type in the BUAand DGA are indicatedin Figure 4 below. Figure 4: Intensification and Designated Greenfield Area Development Levels (June 16/18-June 15/19) Designated Greenfield Area Built-Up Area Dwelling Type(New Residential Units)(New Residential Units)Total Single Detached26321284 Semi-Detached22426 Duplex23151174 Street Townhouses1606166 Cluster Townhouses83442 Multiple Dwellings*124733857 5809691549 Total Percent of Total37%63%100% *Includes dwelling units within mixed use buildings The most recent intensification level of 63% continues to be an indication that the City remains positioned to both contribute towards, and in some years exceed, the intensification target. As we have seen in recent years, when there is a substantial number of multiple dwelling units created in the Built UpArea, the City’s intensification level is higher. Over the next several years, it is expected that the intensification level will remain steady or decrease as lands within the Designated Greenfield Area build out. 3 - 11 Figure 5 illustrates the historic intensification levels, as per the Provincial Built Boundary Line. Figure 5: Intensification Level (2001 to present) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Intensification Level (%) Year The City expects to see “spike” (i.e. 2013, 2019) and “dip” (i.e. 2012) years with respect to the BUA intensification level as the timing of 2-3 multiple dwelling developments can affectthe reported rate in a given year for a municipality the size of Kitchener. An average provides a better understanding, for monitoring purposes, of whether the City is on track to achieving the required intensification level. Figure 6 below illustrates the5-yearaverage intensification levels from June 2003 to June 2019. Figure 6: 5 Year Average Intensification Levels 5 Year Average YearIntensification Level (%) June 2004 -June 200940 June 2009 -June 201447 June 2014 -June 201946 The 5-year average Intensification Level (June 2014 – June 2019) is now at 46% with the 10- year average (2009-2019) slightly higherat 47%. 3 - 12 5.Intensification Areas –Existing Measures and Additional Capacity for New Growth Existing Measures Figure 7 quantifies the existing number of dwelling units, residents, jobs and density measure (residents and jobs per hectare) for the currently identified Intensification Areaswithin the BUA. Figure 7: Existing Measures for Current Intensification Areas Non- Land Residential Residents Intensification AreaArea UnitsResidentsJobs Floor Space + Jobs/ha (Ha) (m2) Urban Growth Centre1073,068*5,522847,05014,730**189 Primary Node1151,5122,723106,4983,49869 Mixed Use Nodes2943,9727,159216,4826,16742 Mixed Use Corridors1232,2744,299207,8196,91197 Neighbourhood Mixed 4616241010,6931,82652 Use Centres Comprehensive 27297733126,98229961 Development Areas Subtotal of 71211,28520,8451,515,52433,430 Intensification Areas Site Specific Intensification 1,2332,394744,8137,98654 Opportunities Grand Total12,51823,2392,260,33741,416 *Source: Region of Waterloo as of mid-year 2019 **UGCjobsdata is based on several data sources, predominately the Region of Waterloo 2018 Workplace Countand the Economic Development downtown employment database. It is noted that the main data source for reporting jobs within the Urban Growth Centre(UGC) has changed from previous reporting years. The Region of Waterloo has begun conducting a Workplace Count Survey for every placeof work in Waterloo Region (except for home-based businesses and farms) and intend to conduct this survey every two years to update information. Where Economic Development staff is aware of changes in workplace employment since the Workplace CountSurvey was conducted, the data has been supplemented with more recent figures. As redevelopment continues to occur in the City’s intensification areas, the residential and employment densities continue to gradually rise as expected.The estimated density of the Urban Growth Centre (UGC) remained at 189 residents and jobs per hectare from 2018 to 2019. While there were additional residential units constructed that contributed to increased residents, the total number of jobs in the UGC decreased and may continue to dip over the next year, largely due to the anticipated relocation of a large insurance company.Over time, jobs are expected to return as vacated space becomes occupied by new businesses. Based on planning applications and permits in process, it is estimated that approximately 2,600 units may 3 - 13 be built and occupied in the UGC in the next 2-5 years. Accordingly, Kitchener continues to be well on its way to achieving the Official Plan target of 225 residents and jobs per hectare by 2031. Capacity for New Growth Figure 8 explores the potential for accommodating new development within each of intensification areas based on the existing zoning only. Figure 8: Additional Capacity Measures for Current Intensification Areas 50% Scenario It is assumed that the intensification opportunities may have a capacity of, on average, up to 50% of their maximum zoned capacity during the planning horizon Non- Residential Floor Residents Intensification AreasArea (Ha)UnitsResidentsSpace(m2)Jobs+ Jobs/ha Urban Growth Centre1071,8473,297219,4549,235117 Primary Node11544691001,17822 Mixed Use Nodes2944,1388,321357,5108,62364 Mixed Use Corridors1236,51312,068439,64913,156181 Neighbourhood Mixed 466812322,1792367 Use Centres Comprehensive 277871,7052,19927336 Development Areas Subtotal of 71213,79926,4251,040,99132,701 Intensification Areas Site Specific Intensification 2,5074,476238,3284,66841 Opportunities Grand Total16,30530,9001,279,31937,369 *Some data reported utilizes MPAC data which has limitations (i.e. non-residential building floor space). Buildings and sites within the Urban Growth Centre and the City’s other Intensification Areas are well positioned with existing land use, density, design approvals and amenities in place which can help the existing capacity to grow in these areas. New development applications and updates to the zoning in these areas as a result of the Comprehensive Review ofthe Zoning By- law (CRoZBy), Planning AroundRapid Transit Stations (PARTS), and neighbourhood specific planning reviewswill continue to refine the planning framework and add to the capacity to accommodate growth in these areas. 3 - 14 Figure 9 provides an account of the total number of dwelling units,residents, non-residential floor space and jobs that could result at build-out of the Intensification Areas. Figure 9: Total Measures (Existing + Additional Capacity) for Current Intensification Areas Non- Residential Intensification Area Floor Residents Areas(Ha)UnitsResidentsSpace(m2)Jobs+ Jobs/ha Urban Growth Centre1074,9158,8201,066,50424,965306 Primary Node1151,9583,63304,67691 Mixed Use Nodes2948,11015,480573,99214,790106 Mixed Use Corridors1238,78716,367647,46820,066278 Neighbourhood Mixed Use Centres4623053332,8722,06258 Comprehensive Development Areas271,0842,438129,18157297 Subtotal of Intensification Areas71225,08447,2702,556,51566,131 Site Specific Intensification Opportunities3,7406,870983,14112,65496 Grand Total28,82354,1403,539,65678,784 Given the additional opportunitiesfor redevelopment, based on existing zoning, there is capacity and potential to achieve higher densities within Kitchener’s Intensification Areas. 3 - 15 6.Estimated Land Supply The estimated land supply for Kitchener is a total of the potential capacity within the BUAand the DGA. As development moves from raw land through the development approvals stage and eventually to construction, the land supply estimates become more accurate. 6.1Potential Built-up Area Supply The Built-up Arealand supply includes lands within the Built Boundary Line that are within intensification areas, are site specific intensification opportunities, include a minor intensification factor within existing communities (community interiors) and the potential supply from registered, draft approved and in-circulation subdivisions. Figure 10: Estimated Built-up Area Supply (capacity of intensification lands inside the Built Boundary) Non-Res. Intensification AreaUnitsResidentsJobs Space (m²)* Urban Growth Centre 1,8473,297219,4549,235 Primary Node 44691001,178 Mixed Use Nodes** 4,1388,321357,5108,623 Mixed Use Corridors 6,51312,068439,64913,156 NeighbourhoodMixed Use Centres 6812322,179236 Comprehensive Development Areas 7871,7052,199273 Subtotal of Intensification Areas13,79926,4251,040,99132,701 Site Specific Intensification Opportunities2,5074,476238,3284,668 Total Potential Supply of Current 16,30530,9001,279,31937,369 Intensification Areas Community Interiors6001,524041 Registered (Vacant Land Inventory) 323682217,9713,244 Draft Approved13336500 In Circulation0000 Other Designated0000 Subtotal1,0562,571217,9713,285 Total Potential Supply (Current Zoning)17,36133,4711,497,29040,654 *Some data reported utilizes MPAC data which has limitations (i.e. non-residential building floor space). **Does not include Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node which is in the Designated Greenfield Area. Figure 10 illustrates that the City’s current estimated Built-up Area land supply includes a potential capacity of approximately 17,350dwelling units and 1.5 millionsquare metresof non- residential floor space. 3 - 16 6.2Potential Designated Greenfield Area Supply The potential Designated Greenfield Area (DGA)land supplyincludes all lands outside the Built Boundary Line that are designated for development in the City’s Official Plan. The estimates will become more refined as land parcels within this area move through the development approval process. The dwelling unit numbers are primarily based on maximumsfor blocks of land that have a range of units. Similar to Figure 10,the DGAland supply includes intensification areas, site specific intensification opportunities, lands which have been designated in the Official Plan but do not currently have development applications (e.g. portions of the Rosenberg Community) and the potential supply from registered, draft approved and in-circulation subdivisions. Non-Res. Floor Space 2 Greenfield LocationUnitsResidents(m)Jobs 240 430 57,100 1,180 Intensification Areas* Site Specific Intensification Opportunities00 44,614 378 Other Designated Lands** 5,780 13,180 112,954 6,016 Registered (Vacant Land Inventory) 1,154 3,108 87,370 1,514 Draft Approved 6,952 16,722 126 126 In Circulation 4,326 11,055 67,890 461 Total*** 18,452 44,495 370,054 9,676 *Includes Lackner/Fairway Mixed Use Node (outside Built Boundary Line) ** Using 55 residents+jobs/hectare assumption. Lands are net Provincial constraints only. No Hidden Valley Community included. Includes Rosenberg lands without a development application, based on densities in the Rosenberg Secondary Plan. ***Does not include any additional lands added in the Region Official Plan and City Official Plan to the City Urban Area. Once the land use designations are considered, the DGA supply estimates will be updated. Figure 11 illustrates that the City’s current estimated Designated Greenfield Area land supply includes a potential capacity of approximately 28,500residential units and 370,000square metres of non-residential floor space. 3 - 17 6.3Estimated Total Supply When combined, the potential land supply of both the BUA and DGAprovidesa total estimate for residential and employment land in Kitchener. Figure 12: Estimated Total Supply: Built-up Area and Designated Greenfield Area Non-Res. Space LocationUnitsResidentsJobs (m²) Built-up Area (BUA)17,36133,4711,497,29040,654 Designated Greenfield 18,45244,495370,0549,676 Area (DGA) Total 35,81477,9651,867,34450,329 The estimated supply of dwelling units has decreased inthe BUA and DGA from June 2018. The total supply of dwelling units and jobs is expected to eventually decrease as development continues to occur and the city moves towards a “mature state”.The timing of development from the estimated supply of units is influenced by many factors including infrastructure timing, land owner priorities and market forces. As previously discussed throughout this report, the estimated land supply for Kitchener is based on existing lands within the City’s urban area as per the 1994 Official Plan and zoning at the time of the preparation of the KGMS in 2009. It does not include any additional lands added in the Region’s Official Planand City’s Official Planto the City’s urban area (within the DGA) nor does it include the intensification areas within the built up area as outlined in the City’s new Official Plan. Once urban land use designations are assignedto the additional DGA lands, the DGA supply estimates will be updated. In addition, once updates to zoning in the intensification areas have been completedand in effectthrough the Comprehensive Review of the Zoning By- law (CRoZBy) and Planning Around Rapid Transit Stations (PARTS),and neighbourhood specific planning reviewsthe supply numbers for the BUA will also be updated. 7.Current Capacity for Growth This section compares the current population and employment capacity with the population and employment allocations provided by the Region of Waterloo. Figure 13: Population Allocation vs. Estimated Capacity PopulationEmployment Existing257,000*82,920** Capacity77,96550,329 Total334,965133,249 2031 Growth Allocation 319,500132,500 Difference15,465749 *Unofficial interim population estimate as of mid-year 2019, Region **Based on the 2016 Census. Also includes the incremental increase in UGC (downtown) jobs since 2016 Kitchener’s 2019mid-year population estimated by the Region is now257,000approximately 3,200more people than reported mid-year 2018. Figure 13 shows that the City has an existing 3 - 18 supply/capacity of developable land within the BUA and DGA that can accommodate more residents and jobs than the 2031population and employment allocation from the Region. 8.A Placeto Grow Implementation The KGMS annual monitoring report will continue to monitor new development and track Kitchener’s achievements related to the Growth Plan. On May 16,2019 a new Growth Plan(A Place to Grow)came into effect which, among other things, provides for revised intensification levelsand densitytargets.The new targets will come into effect upon completion of the Regional Official Plan review, currently underway. It is expected that theCity’s annual monitoring report may be revisedpending future Region and City updated growth management strategiesand/or comprehensive Official Plan reviews. Growth Forecasts In response to previousProvincial growth forecasts (and Regional allocation thereof), the City developed background information in support of the KGMS that analyzesthe growth capacity of various areas of the city. As indicated in Section 7.0, Kitchener has the capacity to accommodate the allocated growth into appropriate areas. The Province continues to update long-term growth forecast scenarios for the Greater Golden Horseshoe. These forecasts are required to be included within the Region’s Official Plan and the allocations ofthese forecasts within local Official Plans. At such time as the Region of Waterloo considers a future amendment to their Plan to identify any different/further allocation of the forecasts for Kitchener, an update to the growth management assessment and the Kitchener Official Plan may be required. Urban Growth Centre The 2006 Growth Plan required that our Urban Growth Centre be planned to achieve a minimum of 200 RJs/ha by 2031. The City’s new Official Plan setthis target at 225 RJs/ha by 2031. The present density is 189RJs/ha. With additional intensification projects currently happening or proposed in the UGC, the city is well positioned to meet and exceed these targets before 2031. Intensification The 2006 Growth Plan required that 40% of residential development be directed to the BUA by 2015. The target within the Regional Official Planis a minimum of 45% of all new residential development to be located within the BUA. The 2019 Growth Plan has a higher intensification leveltarget, anddetermining how to implement the target in our region is expected over the next several years.To monitor new development, the City has a dynamic system that tracks building permit issuance for new residential units inside and outside the Built Boundary Line. The most recent intensification level over a one-year period was63% while the five-year average intensification level is now at 46%. As indicated in Section 4.0, a multi-year average provides a better understanding, for monitoring purposes, of whether the City is on track to achieving the required intensification level. Designated Greenfield Area Densities The Growth Planmandates that future development within the Designated Greenfield Area should achieve specific, transit-supportive density targets. Based on the 2006 Growth Plan, to contribute to meeting the Region’sminimum density target of 50 residents and jobs combined per hectare for the entire Designated Greenfield Area shown in the Regional Official Plan, Kitchener’s targetis 55 residents and jobs per hectare in residential subdivisions. Kitchener is 3 - 19 well positioned to meet this target. There are several plans ofsubdivision that are in areas served, or to be served, by transit that meet or exceed the overall target. The Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) provides a tool for identifying and tracking the Designated Greenfield Area density. Planning Principles Planning a city is not just about achieving certain numerical targets. The majority of the Growth Plan includes policy direction to achieve healthy and complete communities. Kitchener has long been a leader in promoting walkable, transit-supportive development. Kitchener’s efforts to continue to revitalize the Urban Growth Centre, clean up brownfield sites and achieve mixed use developments that are pedestrian-oriented are significant. We are further striving to enhance the linkages between land use planning and other community considerations such as transportation options, community infrastructure, social dynamics, economics and environmental conservation. Ultimately, the goal is to help achieve a higher quality of life in a healthy and complete community. 9.Regional Growth Management Strategy Implementation The goals outlined in the Regional Growth Management Strategy (RGMS), are largely reflected in the goals of the KGMS. Many of the KGMS action items described in Section 10below support the implementation of the RGMS as well. Additional initiatives that support the RGMS include the new Five Best Bets for Air Qualityprogram, the City’s new Economic Development Strategy – “Make It Kitchener”and, the new Official Plan. 10.Kitchener Growth Management Strategy Implementation The KGMS encompasses six goals that facilitate managing growth and development within the City of Kitchener. These goals support the RGMS and have been adapted to the City of Kitchener context. A significant portion of the objectives, initiatives and recommendations of the KGMS have been completed in previous years and the statusof the 1 remaining itemis providedbelow. ActionItemStatus Goal 1Enhance our valued natural and cultural heritage resources Update Urban Design New Urban Design Manual scheduled for 3 Manual: “Green”consideration in September 2019. 11.Kitchener Growth Management Plan The Kitchener Growth Management Plan (KGMP) is an evolution of the former Staging of Development program and is used as a tool to assist with the implementation of the KGMS. The KGMP establishes priority levels for development and infrastructure projects for each growth area within the City. It includes the prioritization and allocation of resources towards completing initiatives that are required to move lands from the draft approval stage to registration, construction and developing complete communities. The current KGMP (2017-2019+) was adopted by City Council in November 2017. The next KGMP for 2019-2021+ will beconsidered by Committee of Council in Fall 2019. 3 - 20